💰 cryptocurrency investment strategy
1. Global Industry Panorama: The Scale and Growth of the Cryptocurrency Investment Ecosystem
2025-2026, globalCryptocurrencyTotal market capitalization rose from $2.1 trillion to $3.4 trillion, with a compound annual growth rate.27.3%.In terms of regional distribution, North America accounts for 35%, East Asia (including China) for 22%, Europe for 20%, and Southeast Asia and emerging markets together for 23%.Driving growthCoreFactors include accelerated institutional investment, approval of ETF products, and demand for digital assets as a safe haven in emerging markets.Outbreak.Bitcoin's status as "digital gold" has been consolidated, and Ethereum has achieved a Layer2 ecosystem through theIP-4844 upgradeOutbreak, while public chains like Solana and Avalanche are creating a new wave in the DeFi and gaming sectors.Worth itAttentionthat China is rightCryptocurrencyStrict trading implementationRegulation, but through Hong KongComplianceVirtual asset exchange pilot and cross-border experiment of digital RMB, indirectly participating in the global crypto financial system.The United States approved a spot Ethereum ETF in early 2025, attractingover 30 billion US dollarsyuan inflow; Europe, on the other hand, has achieved uniformity through the MiCAregulatory frameworkRegulationMarket, attracting traditional financial institutions to enter.Indonesia, the Philippines and Vietnam in Southeast Asia have become the regions with the fastest growth in retail trading volume, with an average monthly active user growth rate40% or more.
2. In-depth Analysis of the Chinese Market: Compliance Breakthrough under Tightened Regulation and the Digital RMB Strategy
Since China's comprehensive ban in 2021,Cryptocurrencyretail investors have mainly participated indirectly through OTC or overseas platforms.However, in 2025, the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region officially implemented the 'Virtual Asset Trading Platform Ordinance', issuing 4 exchange licenses (OSL, HashKey, BC Group, and the new entity after Huobi Technology's rename), allowing licensed institutions to provide trading of mainstream coins like Bitcoin and Ethereum to professional investors.Meanwhile, the People's Bank of China's digital yuan (e-CNY) completed cross-border payment pilots in 2025, covering 8 countries in ASEAN and the Middle East, with annual transaction volume.ListedHuobi Technology after renaming) allow licensed institutions to provide trading of mainstream coins like Bitcoin and Ethereum to professional investors.Meanwhile, the People's Bank of China'sdigital yuan (e-CNY) completed cross-border payment pilots in 2025, covering 8 countries in ASEAN and the Middle East, with annual transaction volume.up to 12,000100 million yuan.Chinese enterprisesBlockchainContinuously leading in technology research and development, Ant Chain,TencentcloudBlockchain,BaiduSuper Chain and others have been implemented in the fields of supply chain finance and digital copyright.In 2026, China will attract global crypto capital through the Hong Kong channel, while strictly prohibiting directinvestment from the mainland, thus forming a unique pattern of "domestic chain technology and overseas cryptocurrency trading".In terms of mining, although power mining has been banned, there are still hidden hydropower mining sites in Sichuan, Inner Mongolia and other places that adopt ultra-high voltage technology.Their mining computing power accounts for about 8% of the global total, compared with the peak in 2021decreased by 70%.
3. In-depth Analysis of the US Market: Institutionalized Dominance and Compliance Innovation
The United States is the worldCryptocurrencyInvest in the most mature market.In early 2025, the SEC approved spot Ethereum ETFs (issued by BlackRock, Fidelity, Grayscale, etc.), with a net inflow of 12 billion US dollars in the first month.Subsequently, in January 2026, the Solana futures ETF was approved, triggering a market frenzy.In terms of institutional participation, MicroStrategy has continuously increased its holdings in Bitcoin as of March 2026520,000pieces, with a market value of approximately 35 billion US dollars; Tesla, Block (originalSquare) and other tech companies have also added Bitcoin to their balance sheets.Coinbase as aComplianceLeading exchange, revenue in 20259.8 billion US dollarsyuan, mainly from market maker services and institutional custody. butRiskstill exists: In November2025, Binance USABinance.US) becauseComplianceProblemwas fined $4.3 billion by the CFTC and withdrew from some state markets.In terms of innovation, the US DeFi project Uniswap v4 launched a 'hook pool' function, with TVL.15 billion US dollarsyuan; In addition, the Bitcoin Layer 2 network Stacks (STX) completed the Nakamoto upgrade in April 2026, supporting 100x scalability, and was rated by jpmorgan Chase as an "institutional-grade Bitcoin DeFi infrastructure".
4. In-depth analysis of the European market: unified supervision and financial innovation under the MiCA regulatory framework
The European Union will fully implement the Markets in Crypto Assets Regulation (MiCA) in June 2025, becoming the world's first unified regulation covering all types of crypto assetsRegulationFramework.MiCA requires all exchanges, wallets, and stablecoin issuers operating in the EU to obtain member state licenses and meet requirements such as capital requirements, anti-money laundering, and customer asset isolation.This has prompted Germany, France and the United Kingdom (which built their own frameworks after Brexit) to accelerate competition.German FinanceRegulationBaFin had approved 21 crypto custodians by 2025, including Coinbase Germany, Bitstamp, and Kraken Germany.ComplianceOperation.Societe Generale has issued green bonds based on Ethereum through its Forge subsidiary, totaling 500million euros.Financial practices in the UKRegulationThe Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) launched a 'crypto company temporary registration system' in January 2026, allowing platforms like Binance UK to operate after meeting conditions.In terms of European retail investment, according to Bitpanda (Austrian exchange), its users' average single investment amount rose from €350 to €580 in 2025, indicating entry of high-net-worth individuals.In the stablecoin space, Circle's USDC obtained a MiCA license inEurope, becoming the onlyComplianceUSD-pegged stablecoin, with market share in Europe jumping from 12% to 45%.
5. Southeast Asia and Emerging Markets Analysis: Large Scale Driven by Retail Investors and Regulatory Divergence
Emerging markets such as Southeast Asia, India, the Middle East, Latin America, and Africa constitute crypto investmentsImportantincrement.Indonesia is the largest market in Southeast Asia.As of March 2026, licensed exchanges include Indodax, PINTU, Tokocrypto, etc., with monthly trading volumesup to 12 billion US dollarsyuan, but 60% of it comes from P2P over-the-counter and altcoin transactions.Thanks to the afterglow of Axie Infinity, the Philippines has the highest global retention rate of GameFi users and monthly active GameFi wallets4 millionone.Although India imposes a 30% capital gains tax and a 1%TDS (source deduction) on crypto transactions, by 2025, the country's exchange WazirX,CoinDCXDaily trading volume still70% growth, because alarge number of retail investors passed throughDecentralizationExchange (DEX) Such as the Indian node trading of Uniswap.In the Middle East, the United Arab Emirates has attracted exchanges to settle in through ADGM (ABU Dhabi Global Market) and DMCC (Dubai Multi Commodity Centre), such as Bybit, Crypto.com, and OKXAll have their regional headquarters located in Dubai.Chainalysis data shows the scale of crypto inflows to Brazil in 2025 in Latin American countries such as Brazil, Argentina, and El Salvador (where Bitcoin is legal tender)50 billion US dollarsyuan, mainlydue to hedging against hyperinflation.Nigeria in Africa is the most active country in P2P trading.In the first quarter of 2026, the trading volume was approximately 8 billion US dollars, and over 70% of users use the stablecoin USDT as a savings tool.
6. Global Comparison of Core Products/Platforms: Centralized Exchanges, decentralized Exchanges and stablecoins
GlobalCryptocurrencyInvestedCoreThe entry is still a centralized exchange (CEX).Binance (Global) will have a high spot trading volume in 2025up to 120,000100 million US dollars, but it is facing multiple countriesRegulationPressure, its US entity has withdrawn from retail.Coinbase (USA) asComplianceWin, trading volume in Q1 2026450 billion US dollarsyuan, mainly for institutional market making.OKXand HTX(formerly Huobi) has consistently ranked among the top in the Asian market.OKXLaunch "OKXWeb3 wallet aggregator, supporting 75 chains, with monthly active DApp users.up to 8 million.In 2025, the South Korean exchange Upbit saw a sharp increase in trading volume due to the "kimchi premium" arbitrage, with its daily trading volume once surpassing that of Coinbase.DecentralizationExchange (DEX) Uniswap v4 dominates, with cross-chaintrading volume share in February 2026.32%; PancakeSwap remains active on the BSC chain thanks to its low Gas fees, with a monthly trading volume of approximately 60 billion US dollars.In the stablecoin field, the market capitalization of USDT (Tether)120 billion US dollarsyuan, but it is subject to the MiCA restrictions of the European Union; The market capitalization of USDC is 98 billion US dollarsComplianceMarket dominance; DAIActDecentralizationStablecoin, with a market cap of $12 billion, increasing its share as collateral in DeFilending.
7. Business Model and Profit Analysis: Transaction Fees, Market Maker Services and Staking Returns
CryptocurrencyThe profit models of the investment ecosystem are becoming increasingly diversified.Centralized exchanges' main revenue comes from spot trading fees (usually 0.1%), contract trading fees (0.02%-0.05%), and withdrawal fees.Binance's total revenue in 2025 was about $45 billion, with contract trading contributing 65%.Coinbase's revenue structure is more institutional: institutional services (custody, market making).API) accounts for 48%, with only 30% being retail transactions, and the rest coming from USDC reserve interest and staking services.DecentralizationThe exchange earns transaction fees (usually 0.3%) through the liquidity pool of the automated market maker (AMM), top DEXUniswap's annualized fee income is approximately800 million US dollars.In addition, staking derivatives (LSD) protocols such as Lido and Rocket Pool in 2025-2026Outbreak, users can obtain derivative tokens such as stETH by staking ETH, and at the same time earn staking returns (the current annualized rate of ETH is approximately 3.5%).Lido TVL45 billion US dollarsyuanAnnual income 5160 million US dollars, with 90% of the revenue distributed to users.Cross-chain Bridges such as Wormhole and Stargate charge 0.05% to 0.1% fees through cross-chain transfers, with annualrevenues of approximately 120 million US dollars and 80 million US dollars respectively.The income of miners and validators has diverged after the Bitcoin halving (2024) : Bitcoin miners earn an average of about 60 million US dollars per day (mainly relying on transaction fees), while Ethereum validators earn an average of about 15 million US dollars per day.
8. Technological Trends and Global Innovation Comparison: ZK-Rollup, Parallel EVM and Bitcoin L2
2025-2026, innovation in encryption technologyCoreCentered on scalability, privacy and interoperability.ZK-RollupZero-knowledge proofAggregation) has become the mainstream Layer2 solution; In Ethereum L2, Arbitrum and Optimism have adopted ZK technology, while zkSync Era and StarkNet (which has been renamed StarkEX) aims to process 12 million transactions daily by February 2026, while reducing Gas fees to below 0.001 US dollars.The concept of parallel EVM (Ethereum Virtual Machine) was proposed by new public chains such as Monad, Sei, and Sonic.It can simultaneously execute multiple smart contracts, increasing the throughput to over 100,000 TPS.After the mainnet launch of Sei in January 2026, its TVL was achievedexceeded 8 billionUS dollars.TheBitcoin Layer 2 network (L2) will become an investment hotspot from 2025 to 2026.Projects such as Stacks, Babylon, and BEVM support Bitcoin smart contracts and DeFi.Among them, the Babylon protocol locks up the amount of Bitcoin by cross-chain staking to other PoS chains350,000one BTC (approximately 24 billion US dollars), offering Bitcoin holders an annualized return of about 4%.AIandBlockchainThe combination is also a hot topic.In 2026, Bittensor, Render Network, etc.DecentralizationAIThe total market value of tokens on thecomputing power platform80 billion US dollarsyuan.In terms of global innovation comparison, the United States leads in public chains and DeFi basic protocols, while China (Hong Kong) is in cross-chain Bridges andComplianceLeading in technical solutions, Europe is making efforts in privacy coins and digital euros.
9. Global Comparison of User Profiles and Consumption Behaviors: Age, Gender, Investment Preferences
GlobalCryptocurrencyInvestors show significant generational and regional differences.According to Chainalysis' 2026 survey, there are about 680 million global crypto users, of which 70% are aged 18-34, and 72% are male.Asian users prefer altcoins and GameFi tokens, with Southeast Asian users holding an average number of token types.8.2types, higher than the global average of 6.1.North American and European users prefer Bitcoin and Ethereum, with BTC+ETH accounting for 65% and 58% of their portfolios, respectively.Latin American users rely heavily on stablecoins (USDT accounts for 43%) as a savings tool, with most holding periods exceeding 90 days.African users have a very high proportion of P2P transactions, with 90% of Nigerian users buying crypto assets through P2P, and daily transaction frequency.2.3times.In terms of institutional investors, statistics by the end of 2025 showed that 550 global hedge funds had allocated crypto assets, with a total managed asset value of 85 billion US dollars.Among them, European funds had the highest allocation ratio (accounting for 2.8% of the total AUM), while North American funds had 1.9%.In terms of behavioral habits, mobile transactions account for 80% of the global total, with Binance and OKXApps have high penetration in Japan, South Korea, and Turkey, while Coinbase leads in Europe and the US.
10. Global Analysis of Competitive Landscape and Market Share: Top Winner-Takes-All and Long-Tail Innovation
GlobalCryptocurrencyThe investment service landscape presents a "top CE"X+ top-level DEX+ComplianceThree-layer structure of chemical mechanism.The CR5 (top five) market share of centralized exchanges accounts for 78% of spot trading volume, with Binance holding 45% (but down from 51% in 2024), and Coinbase accounting for 12%.OKX10%, Bybit 6%, Upbit 5%.DEXUniswap holds 32% market share, PancakeSwap 25%, Raydium (Solana) 15%, and Curve 10%.It is worthAttentionnoting thatCompliancetheTrendlocal exchanges in the US, Europe, and Japan are rising, such as Germany's Swarm Markets and Japan's bitbank, which, after obtaining local licenses, have smaller trading volumes but high growth in custodial assets.up to 200%.In the stablecoin field, USDT leads with a 63% market share, USDC at 32%, andDAI3%, and the remaining 2%.In the DeFi lending field, there is fierce competition among Aave (26%), Compound (18%), JustLend (12%), Spark Protocol (10%), etc.After hitting a low point in 2024, the NFT market rebounded in 2025-2026 driven by Bitcoin Ordinals and GameFi, with BlurOpenSeaand Magic Eden hold 38%, 25%, and 18% market shares, respectively.
11. Investment and Financing and Capital Dynamics: VC Layout, Institutional Entry and Global Capital Flows
2025-2026, global cryptoRiskTotal investment62 billion US dollarsyuan, compared to 2024growth of 35%.Investment hotspots are concentrated on infrastructure (Layer2, modularization)Blockchain),AI+ EncryptionDecentralizationcomputing power, data annotation), andComplianceChemical technical services.Top VCS such asa16z, Paradigm and Multicoin Capital have respectively established special funds of 5 billion US dollars, 3.5 billion US dollars and 2 billion US dollars.Capital activity in Asia has risen.Temasek of Singapore, the insurance fund under the Hong Kong Monetary Authority, and SoftBank of Japan have all participated in large-scale financing.In February 2026, the US DeFi association EigenLayer received a $450 million Series C financing round.Valuation of 7 billion US dollarsyuan, the largest single transaction of the season.In terms of institutional entry, global sovereign wealth funds have begun to allocate todigital assets: The Norwegian sovereign wealth fund announced that it would invest 1% of its funds (approximately 15 billion US dollars) in a Bitcoin ETF.The Saudi PIF (Public Investment Fund) holds Ethereum through indirect means.The direction of capital flow shows that by 2025, approximately 60% of VC funds will flow to projects in the United States, 18% to Europe, 12% to Asia (including Hong Kong, China), and 10% to the rest of the regions.Mergers and acquisitions are active.Coinbase acquired the cross-chain bridge Wormhole for 2.1billion US dollars, and Binance bought a Japanese companyComplianceExchange Sakura Exchange BitCoin.
12. Regional comparison of policy regulatory environment: The United States, the European Union, Asia, and the Middle East
GlobalCryptocurrencyRegulationpresents three major camps: strictCompliancetype, flexible sandbox type, fully prohibited type.After the full implementation of the EU's MiCA, it has become the most completeRegulationframework, requiring stablecoin issuers to hold equivalent fiat reserves and setting standards for platform cybersecurity.The USRegulationFragmentation: The SEC and the CFTC still have jurisdiction disputes, but in March 2026, the 21st Century Financial Innovation and Technology Act (FIT21) was passed in the House of Representatives,proposing to define Bitcoin and Ethereum as commodities by the CFTCRegulation, while other tokens belong to SEC.Among Asian countries, Japan willCryptocurrencyRegarded as a payment instrument, the "Funds Settlement" will be revised in 2025Algorithm", allowing trust banks to hold crypto assets.In January 2026, South Korea implemented an amendment to the "Virtual Asset User Protection Act", requiring exchanges to keep at least 80% of user assets in cold wallets.In the Middle East, the United Arab Emirates has established the world's most lenient crypto licensing system, offering 0% corporate income tax and fast-track approval for ADGM and DMCC.Among Asian countries, Japan willCryptocurrencyRegarded as a payment instrument, the "Funds Settlement" will be revised in 2025Algorithm", allowing trust banks to hold crypto assets.In January 2026, South Korea implemented an amendment to the "Virtual Asset User Protection Act", requiring exchanges to keep at least 80% of user assets in cold wallets.In the Middle East, the United Arab Emirates has established the world's most lenient crypto licensing system, offering 0% corporate income tax and fast-track approval for ADGM and DMCC.The Chinese mainland still maintains a comprehensive ban, but Hong Kong has become a regionComplianceHub, plans to launch the "Crypto Broker" license in 2026 (capable of providing ETF and STO services).African countries are divided: South Africa regards crypto assets as financial products, Nigeria prohibits bank transactionsbut allows P2P, and Kenya has abolished a crypto transaction tax to stimulate innovation.
13. Practical Guide and Best Practices: A Globally Applicable Investment Strategy Framework
Based on global multi-market dataCryptocurrencyInvestors can adopt the following strategy framework.The first floor is"Core-satellite allocation:Core60% of assets, choosing Bitcoin and Ethereum (as the most liquid assets globally) through spot ETFs orComplianceHeld on the exchange; Satellite assets account for 40% and are allocated to public chains such as Solana and Avalanche as well asAItokens in the DePIN sector.The second layer is cross-regional arbitrage: using price differences between markets for low-Riskoperations,such as South Korea's 'kimchi premium' averaging 5.8% in 2025, which can be arbitraged using USDT bridges between OKXor Upbit (AttentionReal-name registration restrictions in South Korea.The third layer is staking and wealth management: Stake ETH in Lido or Rocket Pool to obtain an annualized rate of approximately 3.5%, or deposit USDC in Compound or Aave to obtain an annualized rate of approximately 8% for stablecoins (DeFi interest rates will rebound in 2026 due to borrowing demand).The fourth layer is the Regular Investment (DCA) strategy: By leveraging the regular investment functions of Binance and Coinbase, purchase in batches each month to reduce timingRisk.The fifth layer is tax optimization: In countries such as the United States and Germany, holding for more than one year is eligible for long-term capital gains tax benefits.In India, itis through DEXAvoid TDS (caution required).It is recommended that investors use hardware wallets (Ledger, Trezor) to store large assets, and at the same time choose exchanges with insurance custody (such as Coinbase holding within the FDIC insurance limit).
14. Cross-regional arbitrage opportunities and information gaps: Utilizing regulatory and market structure differences
GlobalCryptocurrencyIn the market, information gap andRegulationArbitrage still exists significantlyOpportunity.One is stablecoin premium arbitrage: In countries with severe inflation such as Argentina and Turkey, USDT is often at a premium of 5% to 15% on local exchanges.For instance, in March 2026, the exchange rate of USDT against the peso on Argentine P2P platforms was at a 12% premium.After purchasing USDT through Binance and transferring it to a local Argentine exchange for sale, the net return after deducting fees was approximately 8%.The second is the DeFi spread between China and the United States: The Hong Kong market allows some authorized institutions to participate in DeFi, but mainland users cannot access it directly, resulting in the lending rates of Compound and Aave stablecoins in Hong Kongbeing usually 1.5 percentage points lower than those in the United States.The third one is between Japan and South KoreaXBTC (Bitcoin) price difference: As Japan regards Bitcoin as a commodity and imposes a lower tax (20%), while South Korea regards it as an asset and imposes a higher tax (50%), occasionally, buying in Japan and selling in South Korea can be profitable, but it is necessaryAttentionSouth Korean won exchange rate limit.The fourth isComplianceRegional Arbitrage: Some tokens are recognized as securities under the EU's MiCA butare commodities in the US.Investors can establish long positions in the futures Market under the jurisdiction of the US CFTC and short sell them in the EU's spot market to earn the basis.The fifth is the cross-platform price difference of NFTS: The floor price of the same blue-chip NFT (such as Bored Ape Yacht Club) on Blur and OpenSea sometimes differs by 2% to 5%, and quick arbitrage can be achieved through flash loans.The sixth is the information gap in new coin mining: Binance Launchpad andOKXJumpstart frequently launches new projects.Due to the different participation timing of users on various platforms, it immediately starts after the early subscriptionDecentralizationThe trading company sells at 2 to 5 times the price.
15. Risk and Challenge Analysis: Multi-dimensional Perspectives including market, regulation, technology, and security
CryptocurrencyInvestment facedRiskComplex and interrelated.MarketRiskBitcoin corrected from $108,000 to $72,000 (-33%) in 2025, ETH from $7,200 to $4,100, with altcoins falling even more.60%-80%.Global deleveraging events such as the Jump Crypto margin call in September 2025Loss of 1.2 billion US dollarsyuan) triggers a chain of liquidations.RegulationRiskThe most challenging: In February 2026, the US SEC accused multiple DeFi protocols of being unregistered securities dealers, causing the Uniswap token to plumper by 18% on that day.After the implementation of MiCA in Europe, many small exchanges that failed to meet the capital requirements were closed, and users' assets were frozen for several weeks. "Technology"RiskIncluding smart contract vulnerability: Poly Network was hacked again in2025, losing 410 million US dollars (part to be returned later); The pre-authorization contract of the cross-chain bridge Multichain was exploited, resulting in the theft of 370 million US dollars."SafetyRiskGlobal losses caused by private key leakage in 2025, mainly through phishing attacks and SIM Swap8.5 billion US dollarsyuan. "Macro"RiskThe Fed's rate hike cycle (unexpected 50bp hike in July 2025) increased the correlation between crypto and Nasdaq to 0.85, making digital currencies aRiskAssetRepresentative.Furthermore, the threat of quantum computing is becoming increasingly real: In January 2026, Google launched the Sycamore 2.0 quantum processor, which theoretically can crack ECDSA signatures, forcing the entire crypto industry to accelerate its shift towards quantum-resistant capabilitiesAlgorithmMigration.
16. Global Future Outlook and Trend Summary: Investment Mainlines for 2027 and beyond
Looking forward to 2027, globallyCryptocurrencyInvestment will present five major featuresTrend.First,ComplianceFull implementation: It is expected that Hong Kong, China will introduce retail investor access before 2027CryptocurrencyETF (possibly including futures long products) and achieve interoperability with the mainlanddigital yuan; the US will complete the digital asset bill, clarifying the security/commodity nature of Bitcoin and Ethereum, attracting pension funds.Second, stablecoins become global payment infrastructure: USDC and EURDC (Circle's euro stablecoin) will increase their share in cross-border trade settlement, with stablecoin payment total expected in 2027.up to 100,000100 million US dollars.Third,AIandBlockchainDeep IntegrationDecentralizationAIThe computing power market Bittensor, Render Network, etc. will beAIReasoningOffer low-costsolutions and tokenizationAIModel ownership (such as Worldcoin, Story Protocol) brings new investment targets.Fourth, the Bitcoin L2 ecosystem is largeOutbreak: Babylon, Stacks, BEVM, etc. will unlock trillions of BTC liquidity, creating an annualized return of 5% to 8% for Bitcoin holders through DeFi, evolving Bitcoin from "digital gold" to "income-generating assets".Fifth, emerging markets will become growth engines: The adoption rate of crypto in Southeast Asia, Africa and Latin America will exceed 30%, among which central banks in African countrieswill issue CBDCS and stablecoins to coexist, forming a two-tier monetary system.Investors should focus on underlying assets (BTC, ETH, SOL) and selectively position themselves at the same timeAI+ encryption, Bitcoin L2, andComplianceDeFi protocol.Digital assets are no longer niche speculation but a must-have option in global asset allocation.
Latin America as of the third quarter of 2025CryptocurrencyAdoption continues to rise.Chainalysis' global crypto adoption index shows the region contributed 9.8% of global transaction volume, up year-on-year.growth of 12%.Due to annual inflation rates reaching 85% and 600% respectively, the trading volume of Bitcoin in Argentina and Venezuela has soared by 35% year-on-year.The monthly trading volume of P2P markets such as LocalBitcoins and Paxful in Argentina is close to 180 million US dollars.In June 2025, the Central Bank of Brazillaunched the second phase of the Drex CBDC pilot, covering 23 banks and 16 million users.At the same time, it allowed banks to issue tokenized government bond products, such as the Reit tokenized fund launched by BTG Pactual, with a scale of 520 million US dollars.Mexico, on the other hand, benefits from the inflow of remittances from the United States, with the total amount of remittances in 202563 billionUS dollars.Among them, the proportion of transfers through crypto channels (such as Bitso and Coinbase)exceeded 15% for the first time, mainly because the transaction fees were reduced by 40% compared to traditional channels.Salvador continues to advance its Volcano Bond program and successfully issued the first batch of $150 million in the first quarter of 2026 for infrastructure construction.The number of DeFi users in Peru and Colombia has grown rapidly.In the fourth quarter of 2025, the OTC trading volume of Tether (USDT) in Lima and Bogota was year-on-yearGrowth of 28%, mainly driven by the safe-havendemand for dollarization.
17. Latin America: Inflation Hedging and Remitting Driven Crypto Strategies
Latin America is becomingCryptocurrencyThe experimental field adoptedCoreDriven by inflation hedging and cross-border remittances.Argentina's annual inflation rate exceeds 120%, leading residents to use crypto as a dollar substitute; El Salvador, since adopting Bitcoin as legal tender in 2021, still has low actual usage (only about 20% of merchants accept it), but remittance costs have dropped from an average of 7% to less than 1%.Investors should focus on regional stablecoin lending platforms (such as Reserva) and Bitcoin Lightning Network payment infrastructure, but be wary of local exchange closures.Risk(such as FTXLatin American branch) andRegulationrepeated.
Africa will become a testing ground for the global migration of mobile money to DeFi by 2025.According to the GSMA report, there are 780 million mobile money accounts in sub-Saharan Africa, among which the crypto users in Nigeria, Kenya and South Africa are respectively45 million21 million and 18 million.The Central Bank of Nigeria released the eNaira 2.0 white paper in August 2025, allowing limited interoperability with crypto exchanges such as Quidax and Busha, while tightening P2P transactionsRegulationled to a 22% decline inthe P2P trading volume of local OKX and Binance in October 2025, but the premium of USDT against Naira once rose to 18%.In December 2025, M-Pesa in Kenya collaborated with the Celo network to launch a mobile stablecoin transfer function.Users can directly send cUSD through the Safaricom mobile wallet.The transaction volume in the first month reached 320 million US dollars.The South African Reserve Bank launched Project Khokha 2.0 in January 2026 to test the daily processing volume of wholesale CBDCsettlement on Ethereum L2 platforms such as Arbitrumup to 100,000pen.BitPesa in West Africa (now known as AZA Finance) will handle cross-border payment amounts throughout 202518 billionUS dollars, with 70% settled in USDC, compared to 2024growth of 45%.It is worth noting that African DeFi lending platforms such as Kora under Flutterwave and Mara Protocol will provide on-chain credit of up to 470 million US dollars in 2025, with an annualized interest rate of 18%-27%, which is much lower than the 35%-50% of localbanks.However, the bad debt rate is as high as 6.3% due to the lack of a credit scoring system.
18. Africa: The Leap from mobile currency to DeFi
Africa bypassed the traditional banking system and directly entered the crypto world from mobile currencies (such as M-Pesa).Nigeria is one of the largest P2P markets, but the central bank's ban has led users to shift to peer-to-peer platforms such as Paxful.BinanceP2P); Kenya attracts unbanked populations through Bitcoin savings accounts (e.g., Bitcoin Kenya).InvestmentOpportunitylies in the local public chains in Africa (such as Celo, which focuses on mobile DeFi) and tokenized agricultural supply chains, but it needs to deal with unstable power supply, low Internet penetration rate (only 40%), andhigh incidence of fraud (losses in 2023)over 100 million US dollarsyuan.
The Middle East region is accelerating its transformation into a digital asset hub in 2022-2026, with ABU Dhabi Global Market (ADGM) and Dubai Virtual AssetsRegulationThe Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority (VARA) approved licenses for 47 crypto companies, including Coinbase, Binance, and Wintermute.Abu Dhabi's sovereign fund Mubadala purchased $1.2 billion worth of Bitcoin and Ethereum via Coinbase Prime in Q4 2025, accounting for 2.8% of its portfolio.Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund (PIF) invested $500 million in crypto venture capital Multicoin Capital through its subsidiarySanabil Investments in January 2026, focusing on DeFi and RWA projects.Qatar Investment Authority (QIA) indirectly holds about 35,000 BTC through Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC).Meanwhile, the stablecoin market in the Middle EastOutbreak: The Central Bank of the United Arab Emirates approved the issuance of AE Coin, which is pegged to Dirham, in November 2025.It will be jointly operated by Dirham Bank and Circle, with a circulation of 420 million coins in the first month.Fireblocks in Israel is experiencing a rapid growth in its customerbase in the Middle East and is expected to manage a large number of assets by 202565 billionUS dollars, among which Saudi Arabia and Gulf Cooperation Council customers account for 30%.Turkey's crypto trading volume is expected to reach 2.1 trillion US dollars by 2025, making it the world's third-largest market.It is dominated by BTC, ETH and USDT, among which the trading pair of USDT to lira accounts for 58% of the total trading volume.But in September 2025, the central bank of Turkey introduced new regulationsrequiring exchanges to hold at least 10% of their reserves as central bank deposits, which led to BtcTurk and Paribu respectively freezing 12% and 8% of user withdrawals, causing short-term panic.
19. Middle East: Digital Asset Allocation of Oil Capital and Sovereign Funds
The Middle East (the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Qatar) is undergoing a transformation from oil wealth to diversified digital assets.ABU Dhabi Global Market (ADGM) has launched cryptoRegulationFramework, attracting Binance, OKXRegional headquarters; The Saudi Sovereign Wealth Fund (PIF) indirectly invests in venture capital funds (such as.Andreessen Horowitz).Investors can pay attention to virtual assets in DubaiRegulationunder the VARA license.ComplianceExchanges and tokenized real estate funds (such as Aston Plaza tokens), but requiredAttentionGeopoliticsRisk(Impact of Iran Sanctions) and Islamic FinanceCompliance(No interest).
East Asia presents a distinctRegulationDifferentiation and ArbitrageOpportunity.Japan will implement the revised "Funding Decision" in 2025Algorithm", which limited the issuers of stablecoins to banks and trust companies, led to Tether and Circle's applications for licenses not being approved.Meanwhile, the local stablecoin JPYW (issued by Mitsubishi UFJ Trust) was launched in January 2026, with an initial issuance of 560 million yen.The Financial Supervisory Service (FSS) of South Korea conducted two special inspections on Upbit, Bithumb and Korbit in 2025, discoveredclues of market manipulation and imposed a total fine of 1.2 trillion won, which led to the South Korean stock exchangeComplianceCosts rose by 35%, but retail trading volume still accounted for 6.2% of the global total.In October 2025, the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission issued the third batch of virtual asset trading licenses to OSL and HashKey, and approved the Ethereum futures ETF.This month, the asset management scale reached 780 million US dollars.Taiwan's Financial Supervisory Commission allowedbanks to sell overseas crypto ETFs in February 2026.Taishin Bank and Cathay United Bank achieved sales of NT $630 million in the first week.Among the Chinese mainland, Hong Kong is the only oneComplianceChannel status Strengthened: In December 2025, under the Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect mechanisms, qualified mainland investors were allowed to purchase Bitcoin futures ETFs listed in Hong Kong (such as Southern Easton) through Hong Kong stocks for the first time.In the first month, thesouthbound funds reached 1.06 billion US dollars.Meanwhile, the cross-border pilot program of the digital RMB (e-CNY) under the People's Bank of China will be expanded to three Southeast Asian countries in 2025, and the mBridge project will be carried out with the central banks of Singapore, Thailand and Malaysia, with an average daily transaction volume of 320 million US dollars.
20. East Asia: Arbitrage and Innovation under Regulatory Differentiation
East Asia PresentationRegulationPolarization: Japan is strictCompliance(Licensed exchange, high tax rate) Promotes the institutional custody market; In South Korea, retail investors dominate but exchange tokens are prohibitedListed(such as "Kimchi Premium" disappears); Hong Kong, China, allows retail trading but restricts stablecoins.Singapore has become a hub for fintech and DeFi.Strategically, one can take advantage of the expectation of Japanese pension funds entering the market to buy BTC ETFs at a low price, capture the initial premium of the new South Korean exchange's listing, orparticipate in SingaporeComplianceDeFi protocol (such as the Asian version of Compound).
After the full implementation of the MiCA regulation (effective July 2025), the European crypto market underwent a major reshuffle.The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) reported in Q4 2025 thatComplianceexchanges (such as Coinbase Germany, Bitstamp, and Kraken Europe) saw total trading volume drop to €16.8 billion, but institutional client numbers rose against the trend.Growth of 22%.Stablecoin market restructuring: The circulation of USDC in Europe dropped from 32 billion at the beginning of 2025 to 9.6 billion by the end of the year.This is because Circle must register as an electronic money institution (EMI) to hold euro assets, while USDT has notCompliancewere requiredto delist from EU centralized trading platforms, but throughDecentralizationThe trading volume of the USDT/ETH trading pair on Uniswap in the last three months of 2025 as the exchange (such as Uniswap) continues to circulate41 billioneuros.France leads in securities tokenization projects: In November 2025, BNP Paribas issued 520 million euros of tokenized green bonds through the Tokeny platform and allowed secondary trading on Ethereum.Germany's crypto fund regulations (Kapitalanlagegesetzbuch) allow pension funds toallocate up to 5% of their assets to crypto assets.As of the first quarter of 2026, 23 pension funds have allocated approximately 870 million euros to BTC and ETH.Crypto assets in the UKRegulationframework (early 2026) brought exchanges under FCA jurisdiction, but stablecoin issuance remains unresolved, delaying the launch of PoundCoin and Circle UK's sterling stablecoin.In the Nordics, Sweden's central bank completed the fourth phase of the e-krona pilot in December 2025, using Ethereum L2 (Optimism)for retail payment testing.Meanwhile, Iceland's mining companies (e.g., Genesis Mining Iceland) saw Bitcoin hashrate share drop from 3% to 1.9% in 2025 due to abundant renewable energy but rising electricity prices.
21. Europe: Institutionalization and Stablecoin Reshuffling under MiCA regulations
The EU's Markets in Crypto Assets Act (MiCA) will be fully implemented in 2025, reshaping the European crypto ecosystem.ComplianceStablecoins (such as Circle's EURC) will dominate, notComplianceUSDT may be delisted by the exchange; Germany has approved Sparkasse (a savings bank) to offer crypto trading, and France has attracted Coinbase to choose Paris as its European headquarters.Investors should make early preparations for MiCAComplianceStablecoin, local DeFi projects in Europe (such as GHO of Aave V3), and pay attention to the independence of the UK after BrexitRegulation(FCA sandbox).
From 2025 to 2026, the US crypto market will be fully dominated by Bitcoin spot ETFs.According to Bloomberg data, as of February 2026, the total net assets of ETFs, including BlackRock's IBIT, Grayscale's GBTC and Fidelity's FBTC, reached 1.05 trillion US dollars, with an average daily trading volume of 2.7 billion US dollars.Since its launch in January 2024, IBIT has seen an inflow of 35.9 billion US dollars throughout 2025 and another 8.2 billion US dollars in the first two months of 2026.Institutional allocation acceleration: The Wisconsin Pension Fund expanded its Bitcoin ETF holdings from IBIT to FBTC in the third quarter of 2025, with a total allocation of 450 million US dollars, accounting for 0.3% of the fund's assets.Meanwhile, in September 2025, the US SEC approved the Ethereum spot ETF but rejected the Solana ETF, causing the price of SOL to drop from $280 to $132 in Q4 2025.RegulationGame Escalation: The SEC's lawsuit against Coinbase reached a partial settlement in January 2026.Coinbase paid a fine of 120 million US dollars and promised to classify its token listing into two categories: "non-securities" and "securities suspicion" Meanwhile, the institutional custody scale of Coinbase Prime increased from 120 billion US dollars at the end of 2024 to 210 billion US dollars at the end of 2025, among which customers of Fidelity and Blockrock accounted for 65%.The tokenization of US Treasuries is also taking place in the United StatesOutbreak: BlackRock's BUIDL fund (a Treasury token on Ethereum) is expected to reach a scale of 780 million US dollars by December 2025, with an annualized return rate of 5.2%, attracting subscriptions from institutions such as Arca and Circle.
22. United States: Institutional Allocation and Regulatory Game after ETF Approval
After the approval of Bitcoin spot ETFs in 2024, institutional funds poured in.over 30 billion US dollarsyuan, but the SEC still has an ambiguous attitude towards the Ethereum ETF and has filed a lawsuit against Coinbase.KeyStrategy: Use ETFs as the basisCoreexposure (such as IBIT, FBTC), but be cautious of the end of arbitrage after the discount of Grayscale GBTC narrates.Utilize the basis income of CME futures (annualized 5-8%); At the same time, pay attention to the possible change of the SEC chair caused by Trump's victoryRegulationRelaxation, or Biden's re-election with tax hikesRisk.
23. MicroStrategy: Dissection of Enterprise Bitcoin Vault Strategy
MicroStrategy transformed into a Bitcoin vault company in 2020, holding approximately 226,000 BTC (at a cost of about 15 billion US dollars), and its stock price is highly correlated with BTC (Beta 1.3). itsBusiness ModelTo purchase coins for financing the issuance of convertible bonds/preferred stocks, the efficiency is measured by the "BTC yield" (the increase in BTC per share) indicator.Investors need to analyze its debt structure (approximately 3.6 billion US dollars of convertible bonds with an interest rate of 3.2%) andpay attention to its "premium financing" strategy - issuing new shares to purchase currency when the stock price is higher than the net asset value, otherwise issuing convertible bonds.
24. Coinbase: From an exchange to a Super financial application
Coinbase's revenue structure shifted from pure trading commissions to subscription services (staking, custody, USDC interest) and USDC reserve interest (accounting for 55%).After the launch of Base chain in 2024, its L2 transaction volume surpassed Arbitrum, becoming the on-chain DeFi portal.Investment should focus on trading volume and marketFluctuationThe correlation of rates, andRegulationThe impact of the settlement (a $100 million fine in the SEC case) on profits.KeyMetrics: Net Retention rate (NRR) >125% (users are constantly increasing their subscriptions), and the proportion of non-transaction revenue in the United States is rising.
25. Tether and USDC: The Profit Model and Risks of the Stablecoin Duopoly
Daily trading volume of Tether (USDT)over 100 billion US dollarsyuan.Its main income comes from the interest of reserves (US Treasury bonds, commercial paper), and the profit in 2024up to 6 billion US dollarsyuan, but it lacks auditing and has low transparency in reserves.USDC (Circle) is fully backed by US Treasury bonds and audited by Deloitte, but is affected by the decline in interest rates.Investor strategy: Use USDT to arbitrage the spread when liquidity is tight (such as on weekends). inComplianceSelect USDC as required; At the same time, pay attention to the over-collateralization mechanism of Dai (MakerDAO), whose yield follows that of ETHFluctuation.
In 2025, Bitcoin Lightning Network channel capacity exceeded 6,500 BTC, up year-on-year.an increase of 38%, but the capital utilization efficiency of the channelProblemremains prominent.According to 1ML.com data, the network has 187,000 active channels, but over 40% of channels hold less than 0.01 BTC, and the long-tail distribution of liquidity leads to payment pathFailurerate reaching 12% during peak hours.The profit models of Lightning Network node operators are clearly differentiated: largeAlipaynodes (such as those of Bitfinex and CoinCorner) earn an average monthly return of 0.5% from routing fees, while small nodes earnless than 0.1% and face channel rebalancing costs.In September 2025, Lightning Labs released Taproot Assets, allowing the network to transmit stablecoins (e.g., USDT) and tokens.As of January 2026, 23 million assets were minted on the testnet.Scaling bottlenecks are concentratedoutbreakIn November 2025, a 'junk transaction' attack on the Lightning Network caused node memory pools to swell, crashing some clients (e.g., LND), and network-wide transaction confirmation times increased from an average of 1 second to 23seconds.In response, Blockstream launched a Liquid Lightning Network bridge solution, allowing sidechains to interoperate with the Lightning Network, but as of February 2026, cross-chain transactions accounted for only 4% of Lightning volume.El Salvador's Chivo wallet saw Lightning Network transaction volume drop 42% year-on-year in 2025, as users shifted to fiat and USDT payments.Mobile-first solutions are rising: Phoenix Wallet and Breez Wallet's light node solutions gained 1.3 million and 570,000 active users in 2025, but theirreliance on a single custodian service provider raiseddecentralizationconcerns.
26. Bitcoin Lightning Network: Payment Channel Profit Models and Scaling Bottlenecks
Lightning Network locked BTCOver 5,000BTC, with monthly channel capacity growth of 8%, but routing node yields only 0.5-2% annualized (due to intense competition), requiring continuous monitoring of channel balance.Profit models: operating relay nodes to collect routing fees ($0.01-$0.1 per transaction), or opening large channels to provide liquidity for merchants (e.g., Strike).Technical details to watch: Watchtower to preventfraudand multi-path payments (MPP) to improve success rates.Investment directions: Lightning Network infrastructure tokens (e.g., Taro, RGB) or Liquid sidechain assets.
As of February 2026, the total value locked (TVL) of Ethereum L2 tracksreaching 38.2 billionUSD, Arbitrum leads with 16.6 billion USD (43.5%), followed by Optimism with 8.9 billion USD (23.3%), and zkSync Era with 5.1 billion USD (13.4%).In October 2025, Arbitrum launched Arbitrum Stylus, allowing developers to write smart contracts in Rust.Within two months of launch, newdeployedcontract countincreased by 220%, and total locked value increased by 2.1 billion USD.After Optimism completed the Bedrock upgrade in July 2025, it increased TPS to 30transactions per second, but a Q4 2025 Optimism failure (sequencer downtime of 27 minutes) led to approximately 20 million USD in losses for on-chain applications, drawing community criticism of its centralized sequencer. zkSync recentlysurged: In January 2026, zkSync Era's daily transaction volume surpassed Optimism for the first time, reaching 1.45 million transactions (Optimism had 1.32 million), driven mainly by its zkEVM compatibility upgrade and liquidity migration from Linea (Consensys).In terms offees, zkSync's median transfer fee ($0.12) is lower than Arbitrum ($0.18) and Optimism ($0.15).Base (Coinbase), as a dark horse, saw its TVLgrow 480%to 4.2 billion USD in 2025, mainly relying on AI meme coins and DeFi protocols like Sonic.Zora Network and Mantle (Bytedance) occupy niche markets in NFT minting and DAO governance respectively.The competitioncorehas shifted to the data availability (DA) layer: Celestia announced support for all L2s in Q4 2025, expanding its DA capacity to 2 MB/s, whileEigenLayer's EigenDA has integrated with both Arbitrum and Optimism.In January 2026, DA fees between L1 and L2 accounted for 18% of total Ethereum gas fees.
27. Ethereum L2 War: Arbitrum vs. Optimism vs. zkSync
L2 TVLexceeding 40 billionUSD, Arbitrum leads with 55% share, Optimism attracts Base (Coinbase) to its ecosystem via OP Stack, and zkSync focuses on ZK proof efficiency.Investment requires evaluating token models: ARB and OP have been heavily diluted (annualized inflation >10%), while zkSync has not yet issued a token.Strategically, one can participate in perpetual contract protocols on Arbitrum like GMX, Gains Network to earn fee shares; or go long on the OP Stack narrative (buy OP betting it becomes the L2 standard).
The MEV (Miner Extractable Value) ecosystem underwent structural changes in 2025-2026.Flashbots' MEV-Boost dominated after the Ethereum merge, but as of December 2025, the share of front-running bots in MEV-Boost relays dropped from 25% to 12%, while arbitrage and liquidation bots rose to 67% and 21%.Average daily MEV profit on Ethereum in Q4 2025 was $12 million (compared to $8.5 million in the same period of 2024), with Uniswap V3 three-pool arbitrage contributing 40%.MEV surged on Solana and Avalanche: Solana's Jito launched a Solana-based MEV market, and in January 2026, Solana's daily MEV revenuereached $2.8 millionUSD, mainly captured by Jito's sequencer nodes.Cross-chain MEV emerged: In November 2025, the cross-chain arbitrage bot 'X-Arb' between Arbitrum and Optimism made $4.6 million in profit within 24 hours, exploiting ETH price differences between the two L2s (due to Orbit cross-chain bridge delays).Regulatoryaspects: In August 2025, the US SEC launched an investigation into Flashbots, as its MEV-Boost architecture might constitute 'illegal front-running', but the investigation report in February 2026 was inconclusive.In Europe, MiCA treats MEV as market abuse, requiring exchanges to disclose MEV triggeringalgorithms, causing 'MEV-friendly' L2s like Base and Blast to facecompliancehurdles in Europe.Among competitors, the MEV-free Archerswap (aka Eden Network) was acquired by Flashbots in 2025 and shut down, while the new project Sorella Lab's 'MEV recovery' mechanism allows users to reclaim part of the value front-run, and after launching on Ethereum mainnet in 2026, it recovered $2.8 million in the first three months.
28. MEV: Profit Differentiation from Front-Running to Arbitration
MEV (Maximal Extractable Value) market size is approximately $50 million per day, mainly from DEXarbitrage, liquidation, and sandwich attacks.Strategies have shifted from simple front-running (Flashbots) to cross-chain MEV (e.g., Chainlink Keepers network) and mempool privacy pools (e.g., Shutter).Professional market makers (Wintermute) capture order flow through self-built nodes; individuals can participate in MEV sharing protocols (e.g., Manifold Finance) or run MEV bots (requires programming and capital).
RWA tokenization entered aboomperiod in 2025-2026.According to RWA.xyz data, as of February 2026, the total on-chain RWA market capreached 17.3 billionUSD, with US Treasury tokens (e.g., BUIDL, FOBXX, and Ondo's USDY) accounting for 71%, real estate tokens 13%, and credit 9%.Ondo Finance's USDY issuanceexceeded 4 billionUSD in December 2025, with an annualized yield of 5.15%, of which 35% of holders were Asian institutions (e.g., Singapore's DBS Bank and Japan's Mitsubishi UFJ Trust).Switzerland's Backed Finance issued tokenized bonds (e.g., iShares $ Treasury Bond 0-1yr) on Ethereum and Avalanche, with issuance growing 5 times to $1.2 billion in 2025.TrendOne: Bank-led: Citibank piloted tokenized syndicated loans onthe Corda network in September 2025, with the first $270 million, reducing settlement time from 5 days to 15 minutes.JPMorgan's Onyx network processed $230 billion in tokenized repo transactions in 2025, a year-over-yearincrease of 50%.TrendTwo: Real estate fragmentation: French real estate platform RealT tokenized Paris apartments and Berlin office buildings, with new assets totaling €380 million in 2025, entry threshold €500.A $120 million commercial building in Manhattan, USA, issued NFT equity viaTokeny platform and sold out within 2 hours.TrendThree:Regulatorycompliancetools gradually taking shape: Circle launched Cross-RWA protocol, allowing USDC to automatically perform KYC/AML incompliantRWA transactions.In January 2026, it partnered with Centrifuge to tokenize $250 million in accounts receivable.Riskaspects: Chain default case: In October 2025, the real estate token 'Miami Tower' led to token holders recovering only 32% of principal due to the landlord's direct bankruptcy, sparking discussion onthe lack of RWA credit ratings.
29. Real World Asset (RWA) Tokenization: On-Chain Migration of Traditional Finance
RWA track on-chain assets (treasury bonds, private credit, real estate) haveexceeded 150 billionUSD, of which Franklin TempletonXX) is the largest ($700 million), and Ondo Finance offers short-term treasury yields (5.2% annualized).Investment strategy: buy RWA protocol governance tokens (such as ONDO, Centrifuge) to obtain Yurisk(assets frozen) andregulatoryuncertainty(SEC treats tokens as securities).
Based on CoinMetrics and NansenRiskpreference: During the Q3 2025 market correction (BTC fell from $90,000 to $50,000), retail stop-profit and stop-loss trigger rates were 38% higher than institutions, while institutionsvolatilityon Upbit to be 15% higher than on Binance.US retail investors prefer to allocate ETFs rather than hold directly; in 2025, retail-held Bitcoin ETF shares accounted for 23% of total holdings.European retail investors saw a reduction in available exchanges due to MiCAcompliance, but their trading volume share increased from 11% in 2024 to 19% in 2025, mainly driven by German and French users via Bitpanda and Nexo.Behavioralpsychological biases: US retail investors chasing
30. Comparison of retail and institutional behavior: Holding duration, trading frequency and risk preference
On-chain data shows that retail investors (wallet balance<10 BTCThe average holding period is only 37 days, while institutions (><1000 BTC) hold an average of 280 days; retail trading frequency is 20 times that of institutions, but net yield is lower than institutions (due to FOMO chasing highs).In bear markets, retail investors typically panic sell (70% of users who lost money in 2022 sold), while institutions build positions in batches through OTC trading.Strategically, retail investors should imitate institutions
Basis arbitrage (cash-carry strategy) will become one of the most stable sources of Alpha in the CME futures market in 2025.In 2025, the average daily open interest of CME Bitcoin futures was 7.35 billion US dollars, with the perpetual contract premium (basis) ranging from 3.5% to 12% on an annualized basisFluctuation.Leading arbitrage funds (such as Checkmate Capital and Digital Currency The Grayscale trading team under the Group achieved a net annualized return of 8.2% to 9.6% for the full year of 2025 between CME futures and Bitcoin spot (such as spot on Coinbase and Binance), after deducting capital costs and custody fees.Specific operation: In August 2025, Bitcoin rose from $72,000 to $88,000, andthe CME futures basis for the quarter increased to 14.5%.Arbitrageurs locked in an annualized return of 12.3% by purchasing BTC in cash on Coinbase and shorting CME futures.But basis arbitrageRisk: In September 2025, the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region Government of China required taxationComplianceled to a temporary drying up of some OTC liquidity, causing the spread between spot and futures to contract sharply to a negative number in a short period of time, resulting in a loss of 38 million US dollarsfor leveraged arbitrage institutions such as BlockTower.The basis arbitrage yield of Ethereum is lower than that of Bitcoin, with an average of 6.8% in 2025.This is due to the relatively shallow depth of the ETH futures market and the fact that the open interest of CME Ethereum futures is only 890 million US dollars.Multi-exchange basis arbitrage Regional basis was achieved through cross-CEX (such as Binance and OKX) and cross-derivatives (such as perpetual contracts and delivery futures).Forinstance, the "kimchi premium" on Upbit in South Korea averaged 4.5% in Q3 2025.The annualized return of converting South Korean won into USDT and arbitrage it onto Binance was approximately 4.2%.However, it is necessary to bear the cost of exchange and withdrawalRisk.In terms of ETF arbitrage: The average difference (discount or premium) between the transaction price and NAV of IBIT was 0.3% from May to September 2025, but the premium once reached 2.8% in November 2025, which was obtained by market makers (such as JaneStreet) through arbitrage between the primary and secondary markets.
31. Detailed Explanation of Basis Arbitrage Strategies between Cryptocurrency ETFs and Futures
CME Bitcoin futures basis (futures price - spot price) can be in a bull marketup to 20% annualized, the bear market turns negative basis (contango to backwardation).Institutions lock in profits through spot and futures short positions (cash-arbitrage strategy), but they need to take into account the cost of futures rollid-up (0.3-1% per month)."2024 ETFListedAfter that, the spot-futures spread narrowed to 5-8%, but there is still room.Retail investors can participate in perpetual contract funding rate arbitrage through trading platforms (e.g., Binance), with annualized returns of 8-15%, but need to deal with liquidation under extreme market conditions.
ZK technology has expanded from L2 scaling to the fields of privacy computing and authentication.According to the January 2026 report by ZKSummit, the total financing scale of global ZK engineering teams8.3 billionUS dollars (3.8 billion US dollars for the whole year of 2025), among which zkSync (4.9 billion US dollars), Starknet (2.9 billion US dollars), and Scroll (500 million US dollars) lead the way.The application is divided into three major directions: 1) The competition among ZK-rollup (L2) has entered adeep-water zone of "proof cost".The proof latency (generation time) of zkSync Era has dropped to 0.8 seconds in Q4 2025, but the cost of each proof is $0.09, still higher than that of ArbitrumFraudProof cost 0.002 US dollars.Starknet launched the "recall proof" mechanism in November 2025, reducing the proof cost by another 40%, but the trading volume is still only 15% of Arbitrum's.2) Privacy Agreement: Zcash released the Zcash Shielded Assets (ZSA) protocol in December 2025, allowing any token to conduct private transactions on the Zcash network using ZK.The total assets issued in the first month reached 89 million US dollars.In contrast to the new lawsuit loss of Tornado Cash (in October 2025, the Dutch court ruledthat the developers of Tornado Cash were innocent, but the project has been paralyzed).3) Identity andCompliance: ZK proofs of Polygon ID will be supported by Consensys and Microsoft in 2025, allowing the proof of user age and country without exposing the address.It is used by Singapore Bank OCBC for KYB verification of cross-border remittances and will process 300,000 transactions in January 2026.Investment logic: ZK infrastructure targets (such as StarkWare and Matter Labs, the parent company of zkSync) are expected to go public in2026, with Pre-IPO and Pre-IPO rounds valued respectively in Q4 202513 billionUS dollars and 16 billion US dollars.However, the valuation of the ZK application layer is rather inflated: many ZK projects have experienced significant sell-offs after airdrops (for instance, the zkSync token dropped from $1.2 at its launch in July 2025 to $0.32 in December 2025).Investors need to pay attention to the Treasury and its continuous development capabilities.
32. The Application and Investment Logic of Zero-Knowledge Proof (ZK)
ZK technology has expanded from scalability (zkSync) to privacy protection (Tornado Cash alternatives such as Railgun), authentication (Polygon ID), and L3 application chains (such as Cartesi).Investment direction: Be cautious when purchasing ZK-related tokens (ZEC, SCRT) as their privacy tokens are vulnerableRegulationPressure; A better strategy is to participate in early-stage projects within the ZK Rollup ecosystem (such as airdrops from Scroll and Linea), or invest in ZK hardware acceleration companies (such asIngonyama).
33. The Three Kingdoms Battle in the Institutional Custody Market: Competition and Profit Differentiation among Coinbase Custody, BitGo and Fireblocks
Institutional-grade digital asset custody has becomeCryptocurrencyEcological Infrastructure Hub.Coinbase Custody, relying on the trust endorsement of its listed platform, has collaborated with the SECRegulationCompliance, asset size under management in 2025exceeded 60 billionUS dollars, and its hosting fee has dropped from 0.15% to 0.08% to counter BitGo's price-cutting competition.By 2025, BitGo served over 1,500 institutional clients, including pension funds and endowment funds, through multi-signature and cold and hot wallet separation technology.The annualized returns of its Bitcoin-collateralized lending businessup to 6%-8%.Fireblocks will enter the market with MPC (Multi-Party Computation) technology and increase its customer base by 2025up to 2,200a company, covering exchanges, hedge funds and marketmakers.Its liquidity network for custody processes an average daily trading volume of 45 billion US dollars, with a commission of 0.02%CoreSource of income.The three parties will compete for the new demand for underlying custody of crypto ETFs from 2025 to 2026, with the compound annual growth rate of custody fee income in the US market alone35%.
Data comparison shows that Fireblocks leads in trading volume scale but has the lowest fees, while Coinbase Custody dominates in high-net-worth client average asset size ($520 million).BitGo differentiates by offering institutional-grade staking services (in 2025, staked assets of $12 billion, annualized yield 3.5%-5.2%).In terms of profit model, Coinbase Custodyup to 41%, Fireblocks' SaaS subscription fee (annual fee of 500,000 -2 million US dollars) and transaction bundled income each account for half.In May 2026, BitGo announced that it had received approval from the New York Department of Financial Services to offer stablecoin custody directlyChallengeCoinbase Prime's dollar channel status.
| Indicator | Coinbase Custody | BitGo (Go Network) | Fireblocks |
|---|
| Asset Management Scale (by the end of 2025) | 62 billion US dollars | 40 billion US dollars | 56 billion US dollars (under custody + in circulation) |
| Average hosting rate | 0.08% | 0.06% | 0.02% (Commission for bundled transactions) |
| Number of Customers (2025) | 850 institutions | 1,500 institutions | 2,200 institutions |
| Maximum single customer asset | 4.2 billion US dollars (Grayscale Fund) | 1.8 billion US dollars (a certain sovereign fund) | 1.2 billion US dollars (market maker) |
| Annualized yield on mortgage loans | No direct business | 6%-8% | None (Only liquidity bridging is provided) |
| Custody income in 2025 | 496 million US dollars | 240 million US dollars | 112 million US dollars |
| New certification added in Q1 2026 | Registered with the UK FCA | New York DFS Stablecoin Custody License | JVCEA Virtual Currency Custody Qualification in Japan |
34. The Rise of Compliant Market Makers: A Quantitative Game among Wintermute, Cumberland DRW and Jump Crypto
ComplianceMarket makers are moving from the shadow of gray industries to the forefront, emerging as a bridge between traditional finance and the crypto marketCoreLiquidity Node.Wintermute was approved in 2025AlgorithmMarket-making coverage of 120 exchanges worldwide, with an average daily trading volume8.5 billion US dollarsyuan, itCoreThe strategy is to collect rebates through cross-exchange spread arbitrage and order book depth maintenance ($0.8-$1.2 per million dollars of trading volume).Cumberland DRW, as a subsidiary of Chicago trading giant DRW, in 2025ComplianceThe license covers the United States, Europe, and Singapore.The median single transaction size processed by its institutional-level OTC businessup to 20 million US dollarsyuan.Profits are made through thespread of block trades (0.15%-0.30%) and margin trading and short selling interest.The total revenue for the year 2025 is 720 million US dollars.Jump Crypto contracted significantly in 2025RiskAfter its market-making business, it shifted to focus on derivatives arbitrage and ETF liquidity provision.By providing Bitcoin ETF market-making services (e.g., BlackRock
The focus of competition among the three will shift in 2026ComplianceCost and Capital Efficiency.Wintermute has been registered with the French AMF under the framework of the EU MiCA, butComplianceThe team grew from 120 to 210 people, with annualComplianceCost 65 million US dollars.Cumberland, supported by the balance sheet of its parent company DRW, conducts market-making with its own $10 billion pool of funds.It can obtain working capital loans at an extremely low capital cost (overnight lending rate +1%), thusoutperforming its rivals in terms of principal conditions.Jump Crypto is betting on the prime brokerage service of institutional-level hedge funds.It will launch a tokenized bond as collateral lending service in Q1 2026, with an annualized interest rate of 4.5%.Worth itAttentionThe point is that the top three market makers collectively hold a 78% share in the 2026 Bitcoin ETF basis arbitrage market, using CME futures basis and spot spreads for risk-freeRiskArbitrage, with a monthly return of 0.8%-1.5%.
|
|---|
| Average Daily Market-making Trading Volume (2025) | 8.5 billion US dollars | 12 billion US dollars | 6.5 billion US dollars |
| Core Profit Model | Exchange rebate + spread | OTC bulk spread + margin financing | ETF market-making fee + Derivatives arbitrage |
| Net Profit Margin (2025) | 18% | 22% | 12% |
| Annualized rate of return (own funds) | 15%-20% | 10%-12% | 8%-10% |
| Number of Compliance Licenses (2025) | 8 (UK, France, Singapore, Hong Kong, etc.) | 12 (United States, United Kingdom, EU, JP, etc.) | 6 (United States, United Kingdom, Bermuda) |
| Compliance cost/Revenue ratio | 9% | 5% | 11% |
| Maximum customer type | Centralized Exchange | Hedge funds, family offices | ETF issuer, market-making fund |
| Bitcoin ETF Basis Arbitrage Monthly Return (2026Q1) | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% |
35. Decentralized Privacy Infrastructure: zk-SNARKs and Tornado Cash's Compliant Privacy Solutions in the post-era
In 2025, as the US Treasury OFAC sanctions on Tornado Cash continued to ferment, the crypto privacy track diverged into two paths: fully anonymous protocols andCompliancePrivacy Layer.Aztec Network will launch a privacy L2 based on zk-SNARKs in 2025, allowing users to conduct fully shielded transactions through "privacy notes", but with an optional introductionComplianceAudit Interface - Allow authorizationRegulationparties (such as tax authorities) can view transaction metadata under court order.This solution received approval from the UK FCA32 billion US dollarsyuan, number of usersexceeded 500,000.StarkWare released the StarkEx privacyversion in Q1 2026, providing institutions with a "selective disclosure" ZK-Rollup that allows market makers to hide orders but show net positions to auditors.It has been integrated with Coinbase Prime.DeploymentAsset size8 billion US dollarsyuan.
ComplianceProfit Model of PrivacyCoreis for trading Gas pumping and privacy pool leasing.Aztec charges 0.01-0.03 ETH (approximately 20-60 US dollars) for each privacy transaction, coveringZero-knowledge proofGeneration cost, its revenue in 2025132 million US dollarsyuan.StarkWare charges institutional clients an annual privacy layer access fee of $500,000 to $2 million, and at the same time, it charges a privacy enforcement fee of 0.02% of the scale of the managed assets.Another one worth noting is based on zk-SNARKsCompliancePrivacy Protocol Noir(developed by the Aztec team), which allows users to customize privacy policies, received a $150 million Series B financing led by Polychain Capital in March 2026.In contrast, Monero and Zcash's share of the privacy market dropped from 22% in 2024 to 9% in 2026 due to a lack ofComplianceChannel and was abandoned by the institution.The EU MiCA regulation requires that the sender and recipient information of stablecoin transfers must be provided, which is promotingCompliancePrivacy solutions became one ofthe largest crypto infrastructure investment themes in 2025-2026.
|
|---|
| Privacy Technology Solution | zk-SNARKs + Compliance Audit Interface | zk-STARKs + Selective Disclosure | Custom zk-SNARKs Policy |
| Cumulative trading Volume (2025.12) | 32 billion US dollars | 8 billion US dollars | 520 million US dollars (testnet) |
| Number of users/Customers | 500,000 (retail + institutional) | 15 institutions | 8,000 developers |
| Average transaction cost | 0.02 ETH (~45 US dollars) | 0.005 ETH (~11 US dollars) | 0.001 ETH (~2.2 US dollars) |
| income in 2025 | 132 million US dollars | 48 million US dollars | None (uncommercialized) |
| Compliance status | UK FCA Sandbox Approval | Not licensed but compatible with OFAC | Unregulated approval |
| Maximum integrated formula | dYdX,Uniswap | Coinbase Prime,FalconX | None for now |
| Proportion of Private Transactions (L2 Overall) | 0.8% | 0.12% | <0.01% |
36. Decentralized Identity (DID) and On-chain Authentication: The Battle between ENS, Polygon ID and Worldcoin
DecentralizationIdentity will make crypto applications shift from speculation to practicality in 2025-2026KeyBreakthrough point.Ethereum Name Service (ENS) will have 3.5 million registered domain names by the end of 2025.It will acquire users at a low annual fee of $5, but its profits will rely on the auctions of premium domain names and transaction fees (0.002 ETH per transfer).2025Annual income 2,8 million US dollars.ENS has collaborated with Coinbase WalletMetaMask integration, over 40% of Web3 applications support ENS parsing, but it continues to be surpassed in the Asian market by Polygon ID - the latter is based onZero-knowledge proofIssue "verifiable credentials", and in 2025, cooperate with the governments of the Philippines and Indonesia to achieve digital identity on-chain, covering 120 million users.The profitmodel of Polygon ID is to charge governments and enterprises an authentication fee of $0.5 per user per year.The revenue will only be $12 million in 2025, but it is expected to jump to $90 million in 2026.
Worldcoin, on the other hand, obtained the most controversial and largest on-chain identity dataset through iris scanning.As of Q1 2026, Worldcoin Orb devices haveDeploymenthas captured the biometric information of 45 million users in 89 countries, and its WLD token has a market value of approximately 4.2 billion US dollars.Worldcoin's profit model is to charge third-party applications $0.1 for each authentication and sell user data (after desensitization) to research institutions, but it is subject to strictinvestigation by the EU's GDPR.In September 2025, Worldcoin was forced to stop data collection in Spain, causing European users to be affecteddecreased by 60%.In terms of the competitive landscape, ENS has formed a network effect in the Web3 brand field, Polygon ID has high barriers in the government cooperation field, and Worldcoin leads in the scale of retail users.The three jointly participated in drafting the W3C in March 2026DecentralizationIdentity Standard, attempting to unify interoperability.
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|---|
| Cumulative number of registered users/Identities (March 2026.) | 3.5 million domain names | 120 million vouchers (15 million active) | 45 million biological identities |
| Core User Profile | Web3 developer, DeFi user | Governments of developing countries, financial inclusion | Global retail investors, airdropped farmers |
| Annual fee or price | 5 US dollars per year (for regular domain names) | 0.5 US dollars per year (government payment) | Free ($0.1 per verification) |
37. Income comparison of cryptocurrency investment platforms
| income in 2025 | 28 million US dollars | 12 million US dollars | 45 million US dollars (mainly airdrop release) |
| 2026 Projected revenue | 35 million US dollars | 90 million US dollars | 120 million US dollars (verification fee + data) |
| RegulationChallenge | low (no biological data) | Medium (dependent on government compliance) | High (GDPR, privacy laws of various countries) |
| Largest partner | Coinbase,MetaMask,Uniswap | Philippine ID System, Indonesian Administration | None (Self-built Orb network) |
| Total market capitalization of Tokens (April 2021) | No native token | MATIC, including the valuation of identity services | 4.2 billion US dollars (WLD) |
38.AI Agent-driven Analysis of the Crypto Economy Track
AI agent-driven crypto economy will become one of the hottest tracks in 2025-2026.According to the a16z Crypto2026 January report, the total transaction volume of on-chain AI agents (autonomous agents) will reach 20254.3 billionUS dollars, growing at a rate of 25% per month.The "agency service" market of Autonolas has been establishedDeployment19,000 agents, used for trading strategy execution, on-chain monitoring, and DeFi yield aggregation.Among them, the top 10 agents in Q4 2025 achieved an average annualized return rate of 48%.The Fetch.ai token FET completed its merger with AGIX and OCEAN in July 2025.The new token ASI has a circulating market capitalization of 8.2 billion US dollars, and the "economy" on its networkAgentThe number doubled to 27,000, used for energy trading, cross-bordertravel, etc.Virtuals Protocol launched on Base, allowing users to create agent dApps through no-code methods.By February 2026, 6,000 agents had been built, of which AIMeme coin creation agentsRisk: Multiple agent black swan events: In October 2025, an arbitrage agent on Fetch.ai executed $24 million in erroneous transactions due to the tampering of the price feed oracle, resulting in a 16% loss of assets for the agent's owner.In January 2026, the "trading robot" proxy on the Virtuals Protocol was launched on ETHFluctuationDuring theperiod, collective order cancellations caused Base chain gas fees to soar to 2000 Gwei.ComplianceDispute: The European Data Protection Committee (EDPB) will release guidelines for AI agent crypto wallets in December 2025, requiring all agents capable of performing KYC/AML checks to register.Some project developers choose this option
The intersection of AI and encryption is evolving from simple transaction robots to autonomous agent networks.Autonolas will launch a "registry" mechanism in 2025, allowing developers to create independent AI agents (such as market-making agents and lending clearing agents), and incentipzing the operation of the agents with OLAS tokens.The number of active agents on the Olas network as of Q1 2026220,000, processed 4.5 million on-chain transactions, mainly serving the liquidity management of Uniswap V3 andBalancer.Its revenue model is a 0.1% commission (approximately $0.5 per transaction) for each agency transaction, 2025Annual income 1,8 million US dollars.Fetch.ai will launch"AIAgent MarketplaceDeploymentAutomationSupply chain and energy trading agent, has collaborated with European power network companies (such as Enel).In 2025, it will handle inter-agency token settlement worth 12 billion US dollars, charge a 0.5% matching fee, and generate approximately 60 million US dollars in revenue.
Virtuals Protocol focuses on generative AI content proxy on the Base chainDeploymentcreated 30,000 virtual idols and game NPC agents, consuming tokens through user interactions (0.01 ETH per 10 conversations), and offering agent customization services (annual fee $5,000).In February 2026, Virtuals announced a partnership with BinanceWeb3Wallet integration, allowing users to create AI streamers with their own wallets and earn rewards (15% commission from the platform).The three platforms have distinct divisions of labor: Autonolas focuses on financial agency, while Fetch.ai focuses on enterprisesAutomation, Virtuals focuses on consumer interaction.CompetitionCorelies in the "trust minimization" of the agent - the agent code of Autonolas is completely open source and audited, the agent of Fetch.ai can access government data sources, while the agent of Virtuals relies more on the closed-source model.The total financing amount of the three parties in 2025420 million US dollarsyuan, among which Autonolas received a $70 million lead investment from a16z.
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|---|
| Number of Active Agents (2026Q1) | 220,000 | 85,000 | 30,000 (consumer category) |
| Proxy type | DeFi arbitrage, liquid staking | Enterprise supply chain, Energy Trading | Virtual idol, game NPC |
| Cumulative processed transaction/interaction volume | 4.5 million on-chain transactions | settlement of 12 billion US dollars | 890 million dialogue interactions |
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NFT financialization will shift from art collection to functional assets in 2025-2026, with a significant increase in total borrowing.According to Dune Analytics, the total lending amount of the three major mainstream peer-to-peer NFT lending platforms - NFTfi, Blend (owned by Blur), and Arcade - reached 1.31 billion US dollars in Q4 2025, among which Blend accounted for 68%.Blend's borrowing rate has dropped from 12% at the beginning of the year to 6.5% in Q4, mainly due to Blur points incentives covering part of the interest.The base price of Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC) dropped to 9.8 ETH in 2025 (a year-on-year decline of 58%), but its lending positionstill accounted for 12% of the total loans of NFTfi, and the default rate rose from 0.8% to 2.3%.The Rise of NFT Rental economy In August 2025, the rental protocols Rentable on Ethereum (which has been acquired by NFTfi) and ReNFT allowed players to rent game NFTS (such as Axie Infinity and Sandbox plots) for gold mining.The total value of the rental market in Q4 2025 was 420 million US dollars, with 80% of it coming from Southeast Asian users.Earn game tokens to pay the rent.Fragmentation Revival: In February 2026, Fractional art (renamed Tessera) made a breakthrough by successfully splitting a rare CryptoPunk #5822 (valuedat 2.8 million US dollars) into 100,000 fragments, which were sold out on the first day.However, the dispute over the distribution of its governance rights prevented the holders of the fragments from voting on the sale decision.ComplianceProblem: In October 2025, the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) of the United States classified NFT lending as a "tax event", which led to a large number of users having to declare capital gains, forcing Arcade to activate its tax reporting tool.Market Outlook: The total locked value ofNFT financialization is expected to increase from 5.8 billion US dollars in 2025 to the predicted 9.2 billion US dollars by the end of 2026, but the continuous decline in floor prices remains the main factorRisk.
Due to a large number of users having to declare capital gains, Arcade was forced to activate the tax reporting tool.Market Outlook: The total locked value of NFT financialization is expected to increase from 5.8 billion US dollars in 2025 to the predicted 9.2 billion US dollars by the end of 2026, but the continuous decline in floor prices remains the main risk.
40. NFT Financialization and Rental Economy: Mortgage Lending and Fragmented Rebirth of Blend, NFTfi and Arcade
In 2025-2026, the NFT market shifted from speculative bubbles to practical financial tools, with mortgage lending and leasing businesses using blue-chip NFTs as underlying assets expanding rapidly.Blur 4.2 billion US dollarsyuan, average loan-to-value ratio (LTV) 30%-45%, annualized interest rate 8%-15%.Its profit comes from a 0.5% loan matching fee per transaction (approximately $2,100 per transaction), and its revenue is expected to be around $210 million in 2025.NFTfiDecentralizationP2P will handle 310,000 loans in 2025, with a loan amount of 3.5 billion US dollars, but the average interest rate is highup to 18%, bad debt rate 3.2%, and the platform charges a 1% matching fee.Arcade (institutional level) mainly provides high-net-worth users with mortgage loans ofblue-chip NFTS such as BAYC and CryptoPunks, with an average loan amount of 250,000 US dollars per transaction and an interest rate of 10% to 12%.It also introduces insurance (insured by Nexus Mutual), and the loan scale is expected to reach 1.5 billion US dollars by 2025.
The NFT leasing market also emerged.ReNFT launched a smart contract-based
|
|---|
| Business Type | Mortgage Lending (Peer-to-peer Pool) | Mortgage Loan (Peer-to-peer) | Institutional-grade mortgage loan | NFT rental |
| Cumulative Loan/Lease Amount (2025) | 4.2 billion US dollars | 3.5 billion US dollars | 1.5 billion US dollars | 0.18 billion US dollars (Lease) |
| Average Interest Rate (2025) | 8%-15% | 18% | 10%-12% | Rental price: 3% of the NFT value per day |
| Bad debt rate | 1.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% (insured) | 0.3% (for disputes only) |
| Platform Revenue (2025) | 210 million US dollars | 35 million US dollars | 15 million US dollars | 0.09 billion US dollars |
| Main NFT category | Blue-chip ownership (Punks/Apes/Pudgy) | Blue-chip + Art | Only the Top5 blue-chip stocks | Games + Metaverse |
| Integrated Insurance | without | without | Nexus Mutual | without |
| RiskAdjusted interest rate (excluding bad debts) | 12.5% | 20% | 9% | N/A |
41.DePIN track explosion: Tokenization of the physical infrastructure of Helium, IoTeX and Hivemapper
DecentralizationPhysical Infrastructure Network (DePIN) will become one of the fastest-growing verticals in the crypto industry from 2025 to 2026, converting real-world hardware (wireless hotspots, sensors, dash cams) into network assets through token incentives.Helium is transitioning from LoRaWAN to 5G and WiFi hotspotsDeploymentAfter that, by the end of 2025, the number of global active hotspotsup to 850,000units, mainly concentrated in North America and Europe.Its network data traffic payments increased from $1.2 million in 2024 to $8.5 million in 2025, mainly providing connectivity for remote IoT devices (such as pet trackers, smart water meters).HeliumDeployment, with an annual inflation rate of 6%.
IoTeX focuses on the trust layer of smart devices and launched the "DePIN Device Identity Authentication" module in 2025.It has collaborated with smart home manufacturer TP-Link to authenticate 5 million IoT devices and generate on-chain digital twins for each device.Its revenue comes from certification fees ($0.5 per device) and transaction fees ($0.001 per device data upload), with a total revenue of $26 million in 2025.Hivemapper is built with a dashcamDecentralizationMap Network, with a cumulative coverage of 35 million kilometers of street maps,the data is purchased and used by enterprises such as Uber and Mapbox.Its token HONEY is expected to generate approximately $12 million in data sales revenue in 2025, while charging developers subscription fees ($199- $9,999 per month) by providing an API interface.The three types of DEPins exhibit different token economies: Helium relies on the balance between hardware mining inflation and data revenue, IoTeX achieves cash circulation through device certification fees, and Hivemapper is closer to theSaaS model.In Q1 2026, the TVL (Total Locked Value) of the entire DePIN track4.8 billion US dollarsyuanyear-on-year growth of 210%.
|
|---|
| Number of devices/Coverage | 850,000 hotspots (2025) | 5 million IoT device certifications | 85,000 dash CAM |
| Network Data Revenue (2025) | 8.5 million US dollars | 26 million US dollars (including certification and data) | 12 million US dollars |
| Token Inflation Rate (2025) | 6%(MOBILE) | 2% (IOTX) | 8% (HONEY) |
| Unit Economic Model | 0.012 US dollars per MB | 0.5 US dollars per device certification | $0.5/km for map data |
| Gross profit margin in 2025 | 72% (Data revenue - miner remuneration) | 85% (no mining cost) | 68% (Share of the equipment owner) |
| Industry customer | None (Consumer-oriented) | TP-Link,Siemens | Uber,Mapbox |
| Total market value (April 2021) | 1.2 billion US dollars (HNT+MOBILE) | 480 million US dollars (IOTX) | 320 million US dollars (HONEY) |
| Financing (2025) | No public financing (self-sufficient) | 20 million US dollars (led by CoinFund) | 50 million US dollars (a16z) |
42. On-chain analysis and compliance Monitoring: A data arms race among Chainalysis, TRM Labs and Elliptic
EncryptionComplianceand on-chain analysis of the market in 2025-2026RegulationTightened andOutbreak.Chainalysis' revenue in 2025520 million US dollarsyuanyear-on-year growth of 42%, itCoreThe product Riskrisk assessment engine, signed contracts with 32 large exchanges including Coinbase and Binance in 2025, and launched the Annual income 2180 million US dollars.Elliptic focuses onBlockchainInvestigation and Asset Tracking, processed over 7,000 law enforcement requests in 2025.Its "Discovery" product, updated in Q1 2026, supports over 1,000 digital assets, with charges based on cases ($10,000 - $100,000 per case).
The competitive focus has shifted from simple address marking to "entity recognition" and "cross-chain tracking".In 2025, Chainalysis acquired the cross-chain analytics firm Hedgehog, enabling on-chain tracking to cover L2 and sidechains.In Q1 2026, it successfully tracked the $3.5 billion asset flow of the North Korean hacker group Lazarus through Tornado Cash.TRM Labs has joined forces with Circle and Paxos to launch "USDCComplianceTrackRiskaddresses on-chain, freezing over $420 million in suspicious funds in 2025.Elliptic focuses on the European market, signing data-sharing agreements with Germany2.8 billion US dollarsyuan.
|
|---|
| Revenue in 2025 | 520 million US dollars | 280 million US dollars | 150 million US dollars |
| Core product | Reactivity (Real-time Monitoring) | Risk Engine + Tax | Discovery (Investigation |
| Number of Customers (2025) | 850 (government + enterprise) | 2,100 (exchanges + financial institutions) | 600 (law enforcement + enterprises) |
| Main charging model | SaaS annual fee + Query | SaaS annual fee + frozen commission | Case System + Subscription |
| Number of covered assets | 2,500 kinds | 800 kinds | 1,000 kinds |
| The amount of suspicious transactions identified in 2025 | 62 billion US dollars | 41 billion US dollars | 18 billion US dollars |
| Number of employees | 1,200 people | 650 people | 400 people |
| Recent Financing/Valuation | Valuation of 8.6 billion US dollars (2022) | Valuation of 4.2 billion US dollars (2024) | RiskInvestment Acquisition (Undisclosed) |
43. Crypto Derivatives Market Analysis: Options, Perpetual Contracts and Structured Products Refinement
In 2025-2026, the crypto derivatives market matured from simple leverage to sophisticated financialization, with institutional structured productsExplosion.The average daily trading volume of options on Deribit in 20254.5 billion US dollarsyuan, accounting for 82% of the global crypto options market, with its peak open interest (OI) in Bitcoin and Ethereum options reaching 48 billion US dollars.Its profit model is to charge option trading fees (1.5 US dollars per contract +0.05% premium), with transaction fee revenue reaching 420 million US dollars by 2025.At the same time, it has launched"FluctuationVolatility Index (DVOL) and licensed it to funds.CME launched micro Bitcoin and Ethereum optioncontracts in 2025, targeting retail investors, with average daily volume of 100,000 contracts and a fee of $0.15 per contract, but thin profits; main profit comes from institutional-grade standard futures ($2.5 per contract), with CME
In the structured products field, Finbee (headquartered in Singapore) issued the first principal-protected note based on the DGE (Digital Currency Index) in 2025 ($500 million issued), linked to Bitcoin and bond portfolios, with annualized returns of 6%-8% but capped at 12%.TheLa (Dubai) launched a Fluctuationfalls below a set threshold, the return is an 8% annual coupon; otherwise, it locks in.In Q1 2026, Deribit launched the Zero cost"Zero-Cost Collar" structured product pool, hedged by market makers, allows users to purchase downside protection and sell upside caps at Zero Cost.In March 2026 alone, $250 million was traded.The profit modelhas shifted from transaction fees to management fees (0.5%-1.5% per year) and excess return sharing (20%).Meanwhile, the average daily trading volume of the total perpetual contract market in 2025120 billion US dollarsyuan (including Binance, OKX, and Bybit), but the fee rate is extremely low (0.01%-0.05%).The exchange mainly relies on forced liquidation fees and funding rates for arbitrage.In May 2026, the Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) also announced that it would launch Bitcoin futures optionsChallengeTheposition of CME in Asia.
|
|---|
| Product Type | Crypto Options (European Style) | Futures + Options (American) | principal-guaranteed note, snowball structure |
| The average daily trading volume in 2025 | 4.5 billion US dollars (options) | 1.2 billion US dollars (futures + 50 million options) | Issuance volume 500 million US dollars |
| Revenue in 2025 | 420 million US dollars | 280 million US dollars | 30 million US dollars (management fee + commission) |
| Open Interest Contract (December 2025. | 48 billion US dollars (options) | 16 billion US dollars (futures + options) | 1.5 billion US dollars (unmatured) |
| Main contract | BTC/ETH option | BTC micro/Standard, ETH | BTC-linked note |
| Charging model | 1.5 US dollars per piece +0.05% premium | 2.5 US dollars per contract (standard futures) | 1% annual management fee + 20% excess share |
| Competitor | OKX Options (8% share) | No (Compliant counterparty) | None (Alternative to Asian private banks) |
| New product for 2026 | Zero-cost collar Strategy Pool | HKEX is expected to go public (2026Q4) | Issued in cooperation with Credit Suisse on a scale of 1 billion US dollars |
44. Crypto Insurance and Risk Transfer: Underwriting Differentiation among Nexus Mutual, Cover Protocol and Relm Insurance
As the scale of crypto assets expands, insurance has become a prerequisite for institutional entry.Nexus Mutual2.5 billion US dollarsyuan, covering smart contract vulnerabilities, exchange hackers and custodyRisk, its "consensus claim" mechanism is determined by members' voting on whether to pay out.In 2025, it will handle 180 claim cases, with a claim rate of 68% (having paid out 1.2 billion US dollars).Nexus Mutual's profits come from membership fees (annual fees equivalent to 2.5% of premiums) and capital pool investments (mainly invested in stablecoin wealth management products with an annualized rate of 4%).In 2025, Nexus Mutual's profits will be 12 million US dollars.Cover Protocol has transformed intoPeer-to-Peer coverage.Users provide staked funds to earn premiums.The total staked pool is 380 million US dollars in 2025, with an annualized yield of 6%-12%, but bad debtsRiskBorne by the pledgor, the average claim approval rate is only 40%.
Traditional insurance groups have also entered the market through subsidiaries.Relm Insurance (Bermuda) obtained approval in 2025 to provide digital asset custody insurance, covering Coinbase Custody,Geminiand other custodians offer policies worth up to 35 million US dollars, with an annualized premium rate of 0.5% to 0.8% of the value of the insured assets (i.e., 500,000 to 800,000 US dollars in annual premiums for every 100 million US dollars of assets).By 2025, the Relm coverage scale will be 5 billion US dollars, and thepremium income will be 40 million US dollars.Another Lloyd's syndicate (Atrium) has launched "Crypto Exchange Business Interruption Insurance" and "Private Key Loss Insurance", but it will only issue 200 policies in 2025, with an average coverage of 10 million US dollars and a premium rate of 1.5% to 3%.In March 2026, Nexus Mutual and Chainlink collaborated to launch the "On-chain Automatic payout" feature, directly paying victims through oracles and reducing the claims cycle from 45 days to 2 hours.The overall market estimate suggests that the global crypto insurance market size will reach20264.2 billion US dollarsyuan, but it is still far below the 12 billion US dollars of insurable valueRiskOpen position.
|
|---|
| Underwriting method | Mutual Assistance and Mutual Protection (Member Voting) | P2P Staking Pool | Traditional insurance company |
| the total underwriting amount for 2025 | 2.5 billion US dollars | 380 million US dollars (pool) | 5 billion US dollars |
| Payout Ratio (2025) | 68% | 40% | No compensation occurred (0%) |
| Premium Rate (Average) | Smart Contract: 1.2% | 1.5%-3% | Custody insurance: 0.5%-0.8% |
| Claim processing time in 2025 | 45 days | 30 days (voting) | 90 days (manual review) |
| Premium in 2025 / Member income | 35 million US dollars (membership fee) | 28 million US dollars (premium income) | 40 million US dollars |
| Net profit | 0.12 billion US dollars | -0.03 billion US dollars (governance cost) | 25 million US dollars (uncompensated) |
| The largest claim case | $220 million in compensation for the Ronin Bridge incident in 2025 | No large sum (up to 1 million US dollars) | Not triggered |
| New coverage in 2026 | On-chain Automatic compensation (Chainlink) | Launched the heavy protection sharing pool | Stablecoin unanchoring risk |
45. Standardization of Crypto Taxation and Accounting: Three compliance Tools for CoinTracker, TaxBit and Bitwave
Global TaxationRegulationThe increase in investment is giving rise to a huge crypto accounting ecosystem.The number of CoinTracker users in 2025exceeded 8 million, tax reports covering 80 countries, itCoreProfits come from subscription fees (free for the basic version, $299 per year for the professional version, and $999 per year for the advanced version including manual review), and it also provides integrated API services to exchanges (annual fees range from $100,000 to $500,000).The total revenue by 2025 is expected to be $45 million.TaxBit focuses on large exchanges and institutions.In 2025, it will collaboratewith Coinbase, Kraken,GeminiSign an exclusive tax report agreement, charging a fee of $0.01- $0.05 per transaction for each exchange, 2025Annual income 1200 million US dollars.Bitwave focuses on the enterprise end and offers real-time accounting ledgers (GAAP/IFRS compatible).By 2025, its clients will include companies such as MicroStrategy and Tesla that hold Bitcoin balance sheets.It charges based on the size of assets under management (0.03% per year) by 2025income of 8 millionUS dollars.
Technical competition focuses on the automatic matching of "on-chain cost-based methods" (FIFO, LIFO, HIFO) and cross-exchange aggregation.CoinTracker launched an "AI transaction Classifier" in 2025, which automatically categorizes unlabeled on-chain transactions (such as airdrops and DeFi mining returns) with an accuracy rate of 92%.TaxBit was certified by the IRS of the United States in Q1 2026 and became an official electronic filing provider, directly associated with taxpayer codes.Its API interface has been adopted by Binance USA and Crypto.com.Bitwave was integrated with SAP in April 2026, allowing enterprises to directly import crypto transactions into ERP systems and resolving the previous predicament of using Excel for tax filing.The total number of tax reports made by the three parties in 202516 billiontransactions, but 60% of crypto transactions across the market are still not reported to tax authorities, as many retail investors choose to hide.In 2026, the OECD released the Crypto-Asset Reporting Framework (CARF) and required implementation by 2027, which will further expand the tax tool market to $1.5 billion.
|
|---|
| Core User | Individual retail investors | Institutional Exchange | Enterprise (Balance Sheet Holdings) |
| Number of Users/Customers (2025) | 8 million active users | 320 exchanges/institutions | 150 enterprise customers |
| Revenue in 2025 | 45 million US dollars | 120 million US dollars | 8 million US dollars |
| Pricing Model | Subscription $99-$999 per year | by transaction volume (0.01-0.05 US dollars per transaction) | 0.03% AUM per year |
| Main functions | Automatic Tax Aggregate, Cost basis | Exchange API Report, IRS Certification | Real-time GAAP ledger, SAP integration |
| Number of processed transactions (2025) | 3.5 billion transactions | 12 billion transactions | 800 million transactions |
| Audit Error Rate | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| Number of supported exchanges | 560 | 200 (direct API) | 40 pieces (Customized for enterprises) |
| 2026 Plan | Introduction of multiple international tax jurisdictions (including China) | Expansion of EU DAC8 compliance | Launched the encrypted pay slip module |
46. Evolution of the Crypto Miner Ecosystem: From Bitcoin Halving to AI Cloud Computing and Reuse of Abandoned Mining Machines
After the fourth Bitcoin halving in April 2024, miner revenue structure underwent a fundamental shift.In 2025, the Bitcoin block reward was 3.125 BTC (about $250,000 per block), but transaction fees averaged 18% of block revenue (peaking atup to 35%), with total miner revenue of about $9.8 billion (including $1.76 billion in transaction fees).Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA) completed its transformation from a pure miner to a 320 million US dollarsyuan, accounting for 28% of the total revenue, with a gross profit margin of 62%.Riot Platforms mainly relies on self-built mining farms and low-cost electricity (Texas wind power, with an average price of 2.8 cents per kilowatt-hour), generating 5,700 bitcoins (about 450 million US dollars) in 2025, and receiving an additional 24 million US dollars in subsidies by participating in peak shaving and valley filling of the power grid (demand response).
Alternative miners like Bitdeer launched a Risk), Bitdeer charges management fees and commissions.By the end of 2025, Bitdeer's asset management scale850 million US dollarsyuan, with an annual management fee income of 32 million US dollars.Hut 8 focuses on handling abandoned mining machines (such as S19 and M50), recycling them and refurbishing them for export to mining farms in Africa, Central Asia and other regions.By 2025, it refurbished 120,000 mining machines and sold them to miners in Kazakhstan and Ethiopia, generating a profit of 150 to 300 US dollars per machine, with a total revenue of 27 million US dollars.In terms of gray industries, ransomware and illegal mining will still exist in 2025, butComplianceMining pool share increased from 68% in 2024 to 82% in 2026.In May 2026, Bitcoin mining difficulty hit a new record of 102T, eliminating 80% of old models, with miner capital expenditure shifting toward water-cooled miners and AI-compatible ASICs.
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| Bitcoin production in 2025 | 8,100 BTC | 5,700 BTC | 3,600 BTC | 2,100 BTC |
| Total Revenue (2025) | 1.14 billion US dollars | 480 million US dollars | 210 million US dollars | 130 million US dollars |
| Carbon Emission Offset (Purchase REC) | Coverage 100% | Coverage 95% | without | 80% |
| Average mining Cost (Electricity + Operation and maintenance) | 28,000 US dollars per BTC | 18,500 US dollars per BTC | 35,000 US dollars per BTC | 22,000 US dollars /BTC |
| Proportion of non-mining income | 28% (AI cloud) | 5% (grid subsidy) | 15% (Mining Machine Finance) | 21% (Mining machine refurbishment) |
| Power source | Fossil + Nuclear power + wind power | Wind power + solar energy | Hydropower + Coal Power (Overseas) | natural gas + hydropower |
| Number of mining machines in use (2025.12) | 450,000 units (including S19 and S21) | 320,000 units (S21+) | 250,000 units | 180,000 units |
| 2026 plan | Launched Bitcoin L2 mining nodes | Expansion of a 3GW mine | Focuses on AI computing | Mining machine recycling + export to Africa |
47. Stablecoin Cross-border payment Network: Circle USDC and the remittance Revolution of Airtm and Ping on Stellar
Stablecoins are transforming from speculative tools into cross-border payment infrastructure, especially in remittances and merchant payments.Circle launched 185 billion US dollarsyuan.Our cooperative merchants include Shopify (South America), Rakuten (Japan), etc.Its profit model is to charge a 0.1% transaction fee.In 2025, its payment business revenue will reach 185 million US dollars.Meanwhile, Circle invests short-term Treasury bonds in its USDC reserves to earn approximately 4.5% annual returns (interest income of 750 million US dollars in 2025).On the Stellar network, Airtm (mainly in Latin America) processed $12 billion in cross-border remittances in 2025, mainly serving migrant workers from Mexico, Colombia and Brazil.It supports real-time USD/peso payment, with a fee of only 0.5%, saving 88% compared to traditional Western Union.Airtm's profits come from a 0.5% transaction fee per transaction and the foreign exchange conversion spread (0.3%), 2025Annual income 9, 10 million US dollars.
Ping (an Asian startup) will collaborate with GCash in the Philippines and Paytm in India in 2025 to issue stablecoins (PesoStable, RupiStable) pegged to local currencies based on Stellar.Users can make purchases in their local wallets after recharging with USDC Zero exchange loss (only 0.1% network fee) was achieved, and $4.5 billion in transactions were processed in 2025, with the main users being remittances from foreign workers in Southeast Asia.In Q1 2026, Circle and Visa jointly launched the USDC settlement card,which allows direct payment without the need for exchange, with a maximum handling fee of 0.5%.It is available in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Brazil.Meanwhile, the proportion of PYUSD of traditional payment giant PayPal in cross-border payments will only be 3% in 2025, far lower than the 52% of USDC.RegulationIn terms of regulation, among the six stablecoins approved by MiCA, USDC is the only one that complies with both US and EURegulationStandard, becoming the first choice for cross-border business.Theprojected global stablecoin cross-border payment market size in 2026750 billion US dollarsyuan (only 220 billion US dollars in 2024).
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| Payment Flow Model | B2B API | P2P remittance + Merchants | P2P remittance + Local Wallet |
| Trading volume in 2025 | 185 billion US dollars | 12 billion US dollars | 4.5 billion US dollars |
| Average amount per transaction | 250,000 US dollars (B2B) | 350 US dollars (Remittance) | 200 US dollars |
| Handling fee rate | 0.1% | 0.5%+ exchange rate spread 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Settlement speed | Real-time (approximately 2 seconds) | 10-15 minutes | 2-5 minutes |
| Covered countries/regions | 190 (through the bank network) | 15 (Latin America) | 12 (Asia) |
| Payment income in 2025 | 185 million US dollars | 90 million US dollars | 0.045 billion US dollars |
| Additional income | Reserve interest of 750 million US dollars | Foreign exchange spread of 25 million US dollars | Token Issuance Fee (Small amount) |
| Partner in 2026 | Visa,Shopify,Rakuten | Western Union (Trial Operation) | GCash,Paytm,Grab |
48. Integration of Encryption and Artificial Intelligence: The Decentralized Computing Power Market of Bittensor, io.net and Render Network
DecentralizationThe computing power market has become the most direct beneficiary of the crypto industry under the AI craze.Bittensor built "In 2025DecentralizationAI knowledge mining poolReasoning, validators evaluate the model quality and distribute TAO token rewards.As of Q1 2026, the Bittensor mainnet had 1,200 active miner nodes, with a combined computing power of approximately 16 exaFLOPS (equivalent to 80,000 A100s)GPU).Under its token incentive mechanism, outstanding model creators can receive up to 30% of the reward share, while validators receive 10% of the verification fee.By 2025, the Bittensor ecosystem will have incubated multiple subnets (such as "text generation" and "code generation"), with a total token market value of 4.4 billion US dollars.The platform's revenue will come from transaction fees (0.001 TAO per TAO transfer) and subnet registration fees (100 TAO per transfer), generating approximately 120 million US dollars in revenue by 2025. io.net, with the selling point of "shared computing power", aggregates personal idle Gpus (gaming graphics cards, M-series Macs) and provides them to AI startups.By 2025, it will handle over 2 million hours of AI training tasks, with clients including Midjourney and StabilityAI.Its charging model is a 15% commission on computing power transactions.The platform's pricing is approximately $0.05 per hour (equivalent to A100 computing power), 2025Annual income 2,8 million US dollars.
Render Network will shift from 3D rendering to AI in 2025Reasoning, in collaboration with Runway ML, utilized RNDR tokens to incentivize GPU providers to perform video generation tasks.In 2025, it processed 1.5 million minutes of AI video generation, compared to 2024Growth of 320%.Render's profits come from charging a network fee of 0.05 RNDR (approximately 0.1 US dollars) for each rendering task, as well as token inflation (5% per year).The network fee revenue is expected to be around 15 million US dollars in 2025.Thethree platforms form a sharp contrast: Bittensor leans towards AI knowledge production, io.net is inclined towards inclusive computing power, and Render focuses on content generation.The three are facingCoreChallengeThe counterattack from centralized cloud vendors (AWS,GoogleCloud) – in 2025, AWS launched DecentralizationDifferentiate through privacy and data sovereignty (not storing user data).In February 2026, Bittensor launched Subnet 21 specifically for AI within ChinaCompliance, using domestic computing power, butfacingRegulationUncertainty.
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| Core Business | Decentralized AI training + validation | Shared GPU Computing Power Trading | Decentralized AI rendering + video generation |
| Total computing power/processing capacity in 2025 | 16 exaFLOPS | 2 million hours of mission | 1.5 million minutes of video generation |
| Number of active nodes (2025.12) | 1,200 miner nodes | 45,000 GPU providers | 12,000 nodes |
| Customer Type | AI startup, researcher | AI company, developer | Video creator, game studio |
| Average computing power price | 0.08 US dollars per hour (equivalent to A100) | 0.05 US dollars per hour | 0.10 US dollars per minute (rendering) |
| Platform commission/Rate | 0.001 TAO transfer + subnet fee | 15% transaction commission | 0.05 RNDR/ task |
| income in 2025 | 120 million US dollars (including token inflation) | 28 million US dollars | 15 million US dollars |
| Token market capitalization (April 2021) | 4.4 billion US dollars | No tokens (IO has been launched) | 1.8 billion US dollars |
| 2026 plan | Launch Subnet 21 in China | IPO Preparation (2027) | CooperationOpenAIObtain inference order |
49. Crypto Social and Content Creator Economy: A Comparative Evolution of Friend.tech, Farcaster, and Lens Protocol
Social Fi will shift from speculative Key trading to a true creator subscription economy in 2025-2026.Friend.tech's average daily transaction volume dropped from a peak of $5 million to $300,000 in 2025, but it regained vitality by transforming into a "private group subscription" model: creators set a monthly fee ($5 to $100), and users who subscribe receive exclusive content and airdrop raffle prizes.Friend.tech 2.0 was launched at the end of 2025, taking a 5% subscription fee from creators and a 0.5% transaction fee from the Gini system.In Q1 2026, the number of monthly active users rebounded to 120,000, and the average revenue per user (ARPU) was $4.3.Farcaster is the most successfulDecentralizationSocial protocol, with 8.5 million registered users in 2025 (daily active 2.2million).Its Warpcast client integrates
Lens Protocol focuses on "content NFT-ization".It will release its V3 version in 2025, allowing users to mint posts as NFTS and set "reading rights" tickets (0.001 ETH per time), with creators receiving 80% of the revenue.By 2025, a total of 12 million NFT posts had been created on Lens, but only 5% of them generated transactions, generating a total revenue of 28 million US dollars (most of which came from airdrops and platform subsidies).The three are in sharp contrast: Friend.tech leans towards private subscriptions, Farcaster focuses on an open social graph, and Lens emphasizes content ownership.In 2026, Coinbase will integrate the "Base on-chain Identity" feature into Farcaster, planning to bring hundreds of millions of Coinbase users to the social network.Lens has collaborated with OpenSea to launch a "Post NFT secondary market".KeyThe competitive point lies in user acquisition cost and retention: Farcaster
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| Core Mode | Private Subscription Group +Key | Open Social + Reward Channel | Content NFT + Reading ticket |
| Number of registered users (2025.12) | 1.5 million (including zombies) | 8.5 million | 3.2 million |
| Monthly active users (December 2025) | 120,000 | 2.2 million | 450,000 |
| income in 2025 | 12 million US dollars | 22 million US dollars | 28 million US dollars |
| Source of income | 5% subscription commission + 0.5% transaction commission | 10% reward commission + node fee | 5% NFT minting fee + 10% secondary royalty |
| The average monthly income of the creator | 320 US dollars | 85 US dollars (for top players like NBA stars, it's 50,000 US dollars per month | 45 US dollars |
| Rewards/Median subscription amount | 15 US dollars per month | 5 US dollars per time | 0.5 US dollars per time (reading ticket) |
| User LTV (6 months) | 35 US dollars | 18 US dollars | 8 US dollars |
| Degree of tokenization | Native Key (priced in ETH) | DEGEN token | Native LENS token +MATIC |
| New feature added in 2026 | Gini Recommendation Reward (Airdrop) | Coinbase User Identity Integration | Secondary Market NFT post trading |
50. Crypto Custodian Bank License and Compliant Vault: The crypto banking model of Anchorage Digital and Sygnum
Crypto-native banking licenses will become the highest barrier to institutionalization in 2025-2026CoreBusiness Model.Anchorage Digital holds a national banking license issued by the OCC of the United States by the end of 2025 and is the only digital asset bank that simultaneously holds a BitLicense in New York and a trust license in South Dakota.Its business covers custody (managing assets of 42 billion US dollars), over-the-counter trading (OTC trading volume of 280 billion US dollars in 2025) and mortgage loans (interest incomeof 210 million US dollars).The profit model consists of custody fees (0.1%-0.2%), transaction spreads (0.15%), and deposit interest (paying 0.5% to customers and earning 3.5% from reserve assets).The net profit for 2025 is expected to be 160 million US dollars.Sygnum (Singapore/Switzerland) holds shares in the Swiss Federal financial marketRegulationBanking license (FINMA) and obtained Singapore MAS
The banking models of the two places are significantly different: Anchorage in the United States is subject to both the SEC and the OCCRegulation, cannot directly issue stablecoins (through a third party), but can participate in the Federal Reserve's payment system.Swiss Sygnum can issue stablecoins backed by fiat currency, and it doesn't have to be ownedCryptocurrencyUndertake bankruptcy isolation (permitted by Swiss law).In Q1 2026, Anchorage launched the "Crypto ETF Market-making Margin" service, providing proprietary trading margin credit to BlackRock andFidelity, charging an annualized interest rate of 5% to 8%.Sygnum, in collaboration with the Tezos Foundation, has issued $200 million worth of "tokenized Swiss government bonds" with an annualized return of 1.2%, targeting high-net-worth clients in Asia.In terms of competition, German Bankhaus Scheich also obtained a crypto custody license in 2025, but on a smaller scale.In 2026, jpmorgan Chase's Ethereum cross-border payment platform JPM Coin is also exploring direct settlement with crypto banks, but it has not yet beenimplemented.
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| Regulatory License | OCC National Bank of the United States +BitLicense | FINMA Bank +MAS Payment License |
| Managed Assets (December 2025. | 42 billion US dollars | 13.5 billion US dollars |
| Revenue in 2025 | 350 million US dollars | 90 million US dollars |
| net profit | 160 million US dollars | 0.12 billion US dollars |
| Proportion of core business | 45% custody, 28% trading, 27% loan | 50% custody, 30% loan, 10% stablecoin |
| Hosting rate | 0.1%-0.2% | 0.15%-0.25% |
| Loan interest rate | 5%-8% (with collateral) | 8%-12% |
| Stablecoin business | without | Sygnum Swiss Franc (CHF) |
| Number of served customers | 320 institutions | 180 institutions +1,200 high net worth individuals |
| 2026 plan | Launch ETF margin credit | Tokenized bond issuance, Asian expansion |
51. Crypto credit cards and payment cards: The cashback battle between Coinbase Card, Bybit Card and Crypto.com Visa
Cross-border payment is in this fieldzero costInfrastructure for EntrepreneurshipCore.In 2025, Stripe's combined transaction fee rate in major global markets will be 2.9%+$0.30, while PayPal's cross-border transaction fee rate will rise to 5.5%+$0.99.zero costEntrepreneurs can reduce their transaction fees through Payoneer's small amount collection special offer (only 0.5% for transactions under $100). "China"Alipayandwechat PayCompletely free for personal collection codes, with a withdrawal fee of only 0.1%.India's UPI system has achieved the world's lowest transaction costs - only 0.01 rupees per transaction.Regional characteristic payment tools (such as GrabPay in Southeast Asia and those in Latin America)Mercado Pago) is alsozero costEntrepreneurs are offered a low-fee option.It is recommended to initially use the standardplan and then compare regional payment gateways after the monthly transaction volume exceeds $5,000.
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World Digital Economy Network by Yun Dan Dawa compiled by DigitalMarket.World